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Red Rock Resorts (Red Rock Resorts) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.06% (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


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What is Red Rock Resorts Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Red Rock Resorts's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.06%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Red Rock Resorts's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Resorts & Casinos subindustry, Red Rock Resorts's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Red Rock Resorts's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Red Rock Resorts's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Red Rock Resorts's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Red Rock Resorts Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.38

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.06%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Red Rock Resorts  (NAS:RRR) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Red Rock Resorts Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Red Rock Resorts (Red Rock Resorts) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1505 South Pavilion Center Drive, Las Vegas, NV, USA, 89135
Red Rock Resorts Inc along with its subsidiary is a gaming, development, and management company. The company mainly develops strategically-located casino and entertainment properties. It generates a majority of its revenue from Casino.
Executives
Robert A Finch officer: EVP & Chief Operating Officer C/O RED ROCK RESORTS, INC., 1505 SOUTH PAVILION CENTER DRIVE, LAS VEGAS NV 89135
Scott Kreeger officer: President 2535 LAS VEGAS BOULEVARD SOUTH, LAS VEGAS CA 89109
Fertitta Frank J Iii director, 10 percent owner 2411 W SAHARA AVE, LAS VEGAS NV 89102
Lorenzo J Fertitta director, 10 percent owner 2960 W SAHARA AVENUE, LAS VEGAS NV 89102
Joseph J Hasson officer: EVP of Operations C/O RED ROCK RESORTS, INC., 1505 SOUTH PAVILION CENTER DRIVE, LAS VEGAS NV 89135
Richard J Haskins officer: President
Jeffrey T Welch officer: EVP and Chief Legal Officer C/O RED ROCK RESORTS,INC., 1505 SOUTH PAVILION CENTER DRIVE, LAS VEGAS NV 89135
Robert E Lewis director 2411 W. SAHARA AVE, LAS VEGAS NV 89102
Cashell Robert A. Jr director 1505 SOUTH PAVILION CENTER DRIVE, LAS VEGAS NV 89135
Marc J. Falcone officer: EVP, CFO and Treasuer 1505 SOUTH PAVILION CENTER DRIVE, LAS VEGAS NV 89135
Daniel J Roy officer: EVP and COO 1505 SOUTH PAVILION CENTER DRIVE, LAS VEGAS NV 89135
Nave James E D V M director 2411 W SAHARA AVENUE, LAS VEGAS NV 89102
Stephen Lawrence Cootey officer: See Remarks C/O RED ROCK RESORTS, INC., 1505 SOUTH PAVILION CENTER DRIVE,, LAS VEGAS NV 89135
Bank Ag\ Deutsche 10 percent owner TAUNUSANLAGE 12 D-60325, FRANKFURT AM MAIN 2M 00000
Fi Station Investor Llc director, 10 percent owner 1505 SOUTH PAVILION CENTER DRIVE, LAS VEGAS NV 89135