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PGT Innovations (PGT Innovations) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.02% (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is PGT Innovations Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, PGT Innovations's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of PGT Innovations's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Building Products & Equipment subindustry, PGT Innovations's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


PGT Innovations's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Construction Industry

For the Construction industry and Industrials sector, PGT Innovations's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where PGT Innovations's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



PGT Innovations Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.68

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.02%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


PGT Innovations  (NYSE:PGTI) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


PGT Innovations Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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PGT Innovations (PGT Innovations) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1070 Technology Drive, North Venice, FL, USA, 34275
PGT Innovations Inc is a leading manufacturer of impact-resistant aluminum and vinyl-framed windows and doors and offers a broad range of fully customizable window and door products. The company distributes products through multiple channels, including window distributors, building supply distributors, window replacement dealers, and enclosure contractors. The products are sold through authorized dealers and distributor networks in the states of the Caribbean, Florida, Canada, and in South and Central America but the majority of its revenue is generated from Florida.
Executives
Rodney Hershberger director PGT INNOVATIONS, INC., 1070 TECHNOLOGY DRIVE, NORTH VENICE FL 34275
Christopher J Stephens director 123 MAIN STREET, BRISTOL CT 06010
Deborah L Lapinska officer: See Remarks PGT, INC., 1070 TECHNOLOGY DRIVE, NORTH VENICE FL 34275
Craig Henderson officer: INTERIM CFO 1070 TECHNOLOGY DR., NORTH VENICE FL 34275
Richard D Feintuch director PGT INNOVATIONS, INC., 1070 TECHNOLOGY DRIVE, NORTH VENICE FL 34275
Robert Andrew Keller officer: Sr. V.P. of Cust. Str & Innov. 1070 TECHNOLOGY DRIVE, NORTH VENICE FL 34275
Frances Powell Hawes director AMERICAN ELECTRIC TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 6410 LONG DRIVE, HOUSTON TX 77087
William J Morgan director 123 MAIN STREET, BRISTOL CT 06011-0489
Sheree L Bargabos director 1070 TECHNOLOGY DRIVE, NORTH VENICE FL 34275
Xavier Boza director ONE CAMPBELL PLACE, CAMDEN NJ 08103
Floyd F Sherman director BUILDERS FIRSTSOURCE INC., 2001 BRYAN STREET, SUITE 1600, DALLAS TX 75201
Alexander R Castaldi director BUILDERS FIRSTSOURCE INC., 2001 BRYAN STREET, SUITE 1600, DALLAS TX 75201
Brett N Milgrim director BUILDERS FIRSTSOURCE INC., 2001 BRYAN STREET, SUITE 1600, DALLAS TX 75201
Ryan S. Quinn officer: Sr. V.P. and General Counsel 11115 RUSHMORE DR., CHARLOTTE NC 28277
Jeffrey T Jackson director, officer: PRESIDENT AND CEO PGT, INC., 1070 TECHNOLOGY DRIVE, NORTH VENICE FL 34275