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Masco (MAS) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.04% (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Masco Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Masco's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Masco's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Building Products & Equipment subindustry, Masco's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Masco's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Construction Industry

For the Construction industry and Industrials sector, Masco's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Masco's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Masco Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.82

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.04%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Masco  (NYSE:MAS) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Masco Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Masco (MAS) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Industrials » Construction » Masco Corp (NYSE:MAS) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
17450 College Parkway, Livonia, MI, USA, 48152
Masco manufactures a variety of home improvement and building products. The company's $5.3 billion plumbing segment, led by the Delta and Hansgrohe brands, sells faucets, showerheads, and other related plumbing fixtures and components. The $3.4 billion decorative architectural segment primarily sells paints and other coatings under the Behr and Kilz brands, but it also sells builder hardware and lighting products.
Executives
Kenneth G. Cole officer: VP, General Counsel and Sec. 17450 COLLEGE PARKWAY, LIVONIA MI 48152
Jai Shah officer: VP - Chief HR Officer 17450 COLLEGE PARKWAY, LIVONIA MI 48152
Richard J. Westenberg officer: VP and CFO 17450 COLLEGE PARKWAY, LIVONIA MI 48152
Donald R Parfet director C/O 350 E MICHIGAN AVENUE STE 500, APJOHN GROUP LLC, KALAMAZOO MI 49007
Renee Straber officer: VP - Chief HR Officer 17450 COLLEGE PARKWAY, LIVONIA MI 48152
Keith J. Allman director, officer: President and CEO 17450 COLLEGE PARKWAY, LIVONIA MI 48152
Reddy Sandeep director C/O GUESS?, INC., 1444 SOUTH ALAMEDA STREET, LOS ANGELES CA 90021
David A. Chaika officer: Interim CFO 17450 COLLEGE PARKWAY, LIVONIA MI 48152
Jonathon Nudi director GENERAL MILLS, INC., ONE GENERAL MILLS BLVD, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55426
John G Sznewajs officer: VP Corp. Development&Treasurer 17450 COLLEGE PARKWAY, LIVONIA MI 48152
Imran Ahmad officer: Group President 17450 COLLEGE PARKWAY, LIVONIA MI 48152
Turner Reginald M Jr director 500 WOODWARD AVE, SUITE 3500, DETROIT MI 48226
Stevens Charles K. Iii director 300 RENAISSANCE CENTER, M/C: 482-C25-A36, DETROIT MI 48265-3000
Aine Denari director C/O BRUNSWICK CORPORATION, 26125 N. RIVERWOODS BLVD. #500, METTAWA IL 60045
Robin L Zondervan officer: VP, Controller and CAO 901 44TH STREET SE, GRAND RAPIDS MI 49508

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