GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Communication Services » Media - Diversified » Liberty SiriusXM Group (NAS:LSXMA) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Liberty SiriusXM Group (Liberty SiriusXM Group) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.06% (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 2016. Start your Free Trial

What is Liberty SiriusXM Group Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Liberty SiriusXM Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.06%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Liberty SiriusXM Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Broadcasting subindustry, Liberty SiriusXM Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Liberty SiriusXM Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Media - Diversified Industry

For the Media - Diversified industry and Communication Services sector, Liberty SiriusXM Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Liberty SiriusXM Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Liberty SiriusXM Group Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.48

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.06%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Liberty SiriusXM Group  (NAS:LSXMA) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Liberty SiriusXM Group Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Liberty SiriusXM Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Liberty SiriusXM Group (Liberty SiriusXM Group) Business Description

Address
12300 Liberty Boulevard, Englewood, CO, USA, 80112
Liberty SiriusXM Group through its subsidiary holding is engaged in providing a subscription-based satellite radio service. It transmits music, sports, entertainment, comedy, talk, news, traffic and weather channels, as well as infotainment services. The firm's segments include Sirius XM Holdings, Formula 1, and Braves Group. The company distributes its satellite radios through automakers and rental car companies, as well as through its retail locations and Website; and satellite radio services to various automaker customers. Geographically it offers services in the region of the US and Canada.
Executives
Berkshire Hathaway Inc 10 percent owner 3555 FARNAM STREET, OMAHA NE 68131
Larry E Romrell director 12300 LIBERTY BLVD., ENGLEWOOD CO 80112
Gilchrist Malcolm Ian Grant director 12300 LIBERTY BLVD, ENGLEWOOD CO 80112
Gregory B Maffei director, officer: President, CEO 12300 LIBERTY BLVD, ENGLEWOOD CO 80112
John C Malone officer: Chairman 12300 LIBERTY BLVD, ENGLEWOOD CO 80112
Albert E Rosenthaler officer: Senior Vice President 12300 LIBERTY BLVD, ENGLEWOOD CO 80112
Brian J Wendling officer: SVP/Controller/PFO 12300 LIBERTY BOULEVARD, ENGLEWOOD CO 80112
Andrea L Wong director 12300 LIBERTY BLVD., ENGLEWOOD CO 80112
Plc Barclays 10 percent owner 1 CHURCHILL PLACE, CANARY WHARF, LONDON X0 E14 5HP
David E Rapley director 12300 LIBERTY BLVD, ENGLEWOOD CO 80112
R. Ted Weschler, other: Member of 10% owner group 404B EAST MAIN STREET, 2ND FLOOR, CHARLOTTESVILLE VA 22902
Warren E Buffett 10 percent owner 3555 FARNAM ST, STE 1440, OMAHA NE 68131
Derek Chang director C/O CHARTER COMMUNICATIONS INC, 12405 POWERCOURT DR, ST LOUIS MO 63131
Renee L Wilm officer: Chief Legal Officer 12300 LIBERTY BOULEVARD, ENGLEWOOD CO 80112
Richard N Baer officer: SVP, General Counsel

Liberty SiriusXM Group (Liberty SiriusXM Group) Headlines

From GuruFocus

Liberty Media Corporation to Hold Virtual Annual Meeting of Stockholders

By Business Wire Business Wire 05-16-2022

Top 5 1st Quarter Trades of Boundary Creek Advisors LP

By GuruFocus Research GuruFocus Editor 05-12-2022