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Landstar System (Landstar System) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.02% (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Landstar System Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Landstar System's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Landstar System's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Integrated Freight & Logistics subindustry, Landstar System's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Landstar System's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Landstar System's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Landstar System's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Landstar System Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.39

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.02%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Landstar System  (NAS:LSTR) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Landstar System Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Landstar System (Landstar System) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
13410 Sutton Park Drive South, Jacksonville, FL, USA, 32224
Landstar System is an agent based asset-light third-party logistics provider focused on domestic truck brokerage (90% of revenue). Historically, roughly half of its truck transportation freight is hauled by leased owner-operators with the remainder hauled by third-party broker-carriers. To a smaller degree, it offers intermodal, global air and ocean forwarding, and warehousing services. Landstar also runs a small business that offers insurance programs to captive owner-operators. It has a long history of industry-leading execution and operating profitability.
Executives
Joseph J Beacom officer: VP, Chief Safety Officer 13410 SUTTON PARK DRIVE SOUTH, JACKSONVILLE FL 32224
James B Gattoni officer: Vice President - Controller 13410 SUTTON PARK DRIVE SOUTH, JACKSONVILLE FL 32224
Ricardo S Coro officer: Vice President - CIO 13410 SUTTON PARK DRIVE SOUTH, JACKSONVILLE FL 32224
Michael K Kneller officer: VP General Counsel & Secy 13410 SUTTON PARK DRIVE SOUTH, JACKSONVILLE FL 32224
Aimee M Cooper officer: VP & CAO 13410 SUTTON PARK DRIVE SOUTH, JACKSONVILLE FL 32224
James P Todd officer: VP and CFO 13410 SUTTON PARK DRIVE SOUTH, JACKSONVILLE FL 32224
Teresa L White director 1932 WYNNTON RD, COLUMBUS GA 31999
James L Liang director C/O LENCO MOBILE INC., 345 CHAPALA STREET, SANTA BARBARA CA 93101
Federico L Pensotti officer: VP and CFO 13410 SUTTON PARK DRIVE SOUTH, JACKSONVILLE FL 32224
L Kevin Stout officer: VP, CFO and Asst Secretary 13410 SUTTON PARK DRIVE SOUTH, JACKSONVILLE FL 32224
Dr. Homaira Akbari director 13410 SUTTON PARK DRIVE SOUTH, JACKSONVILLE FL 32224
Larry J Thoele director 13410 SUTTON PARK DRIVE SOUTH, JACKSONVILLE FL 32224
Diana M Murphy director C/O LANDSTAR SYSTEM INC, 13410 SUTTON PARK DR S, JACKSONVILLE FL 32224
Anthony J Orlando director TWO NORTH RIVERSIDE PLAZA, STE 600, CHICAGO IL 60606
Robert S Brasher officer: VP & Chief Commercial Officer 13410 SUTTON PARK DRIVE SOUTH, JACKSONVILLE FL 32224