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AEye (LIDR) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 97.72% (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is AEye Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, AEye's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 97.72%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of AEye's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Software - Infrastructure subindustry, AEye's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


AEye's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, AEye's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where AEye's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



AEye Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=3.76

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=97.72%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


AEye  (NAS:LIDR) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


AEye Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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AEye (LIDR) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » AEye Inc (NAS:LIDR) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
One Park Place, Suite 200, Dublin, CA, USA, 94568
AEye Inc is a provider of high-performance, active lidar systems for vehicle autonomy, advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS), and robotic vision applications. The company's software-definable 4Sight Intelligent Sensing Platform combines solid-state active lidar, an optionally fused low-light HD camera, and integrated deterministic artificial intelligence to capture more intelligent information with less data, enabling faster, more accurate, and more reliable perception of the surroundings. All of the Company's sales were made to customers located in the United States, Europe, and Asia.
Executives
Luis Dussan director, 10 percent owner, officer: CTO and Chief Prdct Strategist C/O 1 PARK PLACE, SUITE 200, DUBLIN CA 94568
Jonathon B. Husby director ONE PARK PLACE, SUITE 200, DUBLIN CA 94568
Wen Hsuan Hsieh director C/O DESKTOP METAL, INC., 63 THIRD AVENUE, BURLINGTON MA 01803
Tierney Conor B officer: Treasurer & CFO ONE PARK PLACE, SUITE 200, DUBLIN CA 94568
Matthew Fisch director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 21680 HAGGERTY ROAD, NORTHVILLE MI 48167
Tirukkur R Ramachandran officer: Chief Operating Officer ONE PARK PLACE, SUITE 200, DUBLIN CA 94568
Timothy J Dunn director C/O AEYE, INC., ONE PARK PLACE, SUITE 200, DUBLIN CA 94568
Andrew S Hughes officer: Secretary and General Counsel AEYE, INC., C/O 1 PARK PLACE, SUITE 200, DUBLIN CA 94568
Carol Dibattiste director 1155 W FREDERICK SMALL RD, JUPITER FL 33458
Sue Zeifman director AEYE, INC., ONE PARK PLACE, SUITE 200, DUBLIN CA 94568
Blair Lacorte director, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O AEYE TECHNOLOGIES, INC., C/O 1 PARK PLACE, SUITE 200, DUBLIN CA 94568
Robert Anthony Brown officer: Treasurer, CFO, Chf Accntg Off C/O 1 PARK PLACE, SUITE 200, DUBLIN CA 94568
Thomas Tewell officer: Chief Operating Officer 5521 HELLYER AVENUE, SAN JOSE CA 95138
Karl-thomas Neumann director C/O AEYE TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 1 PARK PLACE, SUITE 200, DUBLIN CA 94568
Bernd Gottschalk director C/O AEYE TECHNOLOGIES, INC., C/O 1 PARK PLACE, SUITE 200, DUBLIN CA 64568