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Liberty Global (Liberty Global) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.22% (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Liberty Global Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Liberty Global's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.22%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Liberty Global's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Telecom Services subindustry, Liberty Global's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Liberty Global's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Telecommunication Services Industry

For the Telecommunication Services industry and Communication Services sector, Liberty Global's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Liberty Global's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Liberty Global Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-6.13

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.22%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Liberty Global  (NAS:LBTYK) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Liberty Global Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Liberty Global (Liberty Global) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
161 Hammersmith Road, Griffin House, London, GBR, W6 8BS
Liberty Global is a holding company with interests in several telecom companies in the U.K., Netherlands, Belgium, Switzerland, Ireland, and Slovakia. Liberty is the owner of the main cable network in each of these geographies and has pursued a strategy since 2016 to merge or partner with mobile-network-operators to be able to offer converged services. Liberty also owns minority stakes in other media, entertainment, and cloud companies.
Executives
Anthony G Werner director 161 HAMMERSMITH ROAD, LONDON X0 X0
Marisa D Drew director 161 HAMMERSMITH ROAD, LONDON X0 XO
Daniel E. Sanchez director C/O DISCOVERY, INC., 8403 COLESVILLE ROAD, SILVER SPRING MD 20910
Berkshire Hathaway Inc 10 percent owner 3555 FARNAM STREET, OMAHA NE 68131
Warren E Buffett 10 percent owner 3555 FARNAM ST, STE 1440, OMAHA NE 68131
Andrea Salvato officer: SVP, CHIEF DEVELOPMENT OFFICER 161 HAMMERSMITH ROAD, LONDON X0 W6 8BS
Enrique Rodriguez officer: EVP, Chief Technology Officer C/O LIBERTY GLOBAL, INC., 1550 WEWATTA STREET STE 1000, DENVER CO 80202
John C Malone director, 10 percent owner 12300 LIBERTY BLVD, ENGLEWOOD CO 80112
Jason Waldron officer: SVP & CAO 1550 WEWATTA STREET STE 1000, DENVER CO 80202
Richard R Green director 1550 WEWATTA STREET, STE 1000, DENVER CO 80202
Michael T Fries director, officer: President & CEO C/O LIBERTY GLOBAL, INC., 1550 WEWATTA STREET STE 1000, DENVER CO 80202
Bracken Charles H R officer: EVP & Co-CFO 161 HAMMERSMITH ROAD, LONDON ENGLAND X0 W6 8BS
Bryan H Hall officer: EVP, Gen Counsel & Secretary C/O LIBERTY GLOBAL, INC., 1550 WEWATTA STREET STE 1000, DENVER CO 80202
Larry E Romrell director 12300 LIBERTY BLVD., ENGLEWOOD CO 80112
Paul A Gould director 711 FIFTH AVENUE, 9TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022