Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings (Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.05% (As of Apr. 27, 2024)

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What is Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.05%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Competitive Comparison of Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Trucking subindustry, Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.

Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD

-20.12 * NIMTAAVG

1.60 * TLMTA

7.88 * EXRETAVG

1.55 * SIGMA

0.005 * RSIZE

2.27 * CASHMTA

0.070 * MB

0.09 * PRICE

8.87

-7.58

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD	=	1	/	(1 + e^(-LPFD))	*	100%
	=	0.05%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG	=	Net Income	/	Market Total Assets
	=	Net Income	/	(Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA

Total Liabilities

Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA

Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities

Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE

log (Market Cap

Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB	=	Market Cap	/	Adjusted Book Equity
	=	Market Cap	/	(Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings (NYSE:KNX) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings (Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Industrials » Transportation » Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc (NYSE:KNX) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

KSX:Germany

Address

2002 West Wahalla Lane, Phoenix, AZ, USA, 85027

Website

https://www.knight-swift.com

Knight-Swift is the largest truckload, or TL, carrier in the U.S., with a diversified transportation offering. Pro forma for the U.S. Xpress deal, 74% of revenue derives from Knight's asset-based trucking business, with full-truckload (for-hire dry van, refrigerated, and dedicated contract) making up 63% and LTL at 11%. Truck brokerage and other asset-light logistics services make up 14% of revenue, with intermodal near 6%. Knight's intermodal operations use the Class-I railroads for the underlying movement of its shipping containers and also include drayage (regional trucking services to and from inland intermodal ramps/terminals). The remainder of revenue (6%) reflects services offered to shippers and third-party truckers including insurance, equipment maintenance, and equipment leasing.

Executives

Timothy Sean Harrington	officer: Exec. Vice Pres. Sales	2200 NORTH 75TH AVENUE, PHOENIX AZ 85027
James L Fitzsimmons	officer: Exec. Vice Pres. Operations	2200 NORTH 75TH AVENUE, PHOENIX AZ 85027
Cary M Flanagan	officer: Controller	SWIFT TRANSPORTATION COMPANY, 2200 SOUTH 75TH AVENUE, PHOENIX AZ 85043
Amy Boerger	director	2002 W WAHALLA LANE, PHOENIX AZ 85027
Kevin P Knight	director, officer: Executive Chairman	5601 WEST BUCKEYE ROAD, PHOENIX AZ 85043
Joshua Smith	officer: CFO, US Xpress Inc.	2002 W WAHALLA LANE, PHOENIX AZ 85027
Dustin Ohlman	officer: VP Intermodal	2200 S 75TH AVE, PHOENIX AZ 85043
Reed Stultz	officer: SR VP Logistics	2002 W WAHALLA LANE, PHOENIX AZ 85027
Michael K Liu	officer: Exec VP of Ops, Knight Trans	5601 WEST BUCKEYE ROAD, PHOENIX AZ 85043
Kathryn L Munro	director	200 N WASHINGTON SQUARE, LANSING MI 48933
Jessica Powell	director	2002 W WAHALLA, PHOENIX AZ 85027
Updike James E. Jr.	officer: EVP Sales & Mkt, Knight Trans.	5601 WEST BUCKEYE ROAD, PHOENIX AZ 85043
Louis Hobson	director	2002 W WAHALLA LANE, PHOENIX AZ 85027
Gary J Knight	director, officer: Vice Chairman	2200 NORTH 75TH AVENUE, PHOENIX AZ 85027
Reid Dove	director	20002 NORTH 19TH AVENUE, PHOENIX AZ 85027