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KKR (KKR) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.05% (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is KKR Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, KKR's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.05%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of KKR's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Asset Management subindustry, KKR's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


KKR's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Asset Management Industry

For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, KKR's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where KKR's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



KKR Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.69

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.05%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


KKR  (NYSE:KKR) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


KKR Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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KKR (KKR) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
30 Hudson Yards, New York, NY, USA, 10001
KKR is one of the world's largest alternative asset managers, with $518.5 billion in total assets under management, including $420.0 billion in fee-earning AUM, at the end of June 2023. The company has two core segments: asset management (which includes private markets—private equity, credit, infrastructure, energy, and real estate—and public markets—primarily credit and hedge/investment fund platforms) and insurance (following the October 2020 purchase of a 61.5% economic stake in Global Atlantic Financial Group, which is engaged in retirement/annuity and life insurance lines as well as reinsurance). On the asset management side, private markets account for 50% of fee-earning AUM and 70% of base management fees, while public markets account for 50% and 30%, respectively.
Executives
Kimberly A. Ross director C/O AVON PRODUCTS,INC., 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS`, NEW YORK NY 10105-0196
David Sorkin officer: General Counsel and Secretary C/O KKR & CO. INC., 30 HUDSON YARDS, NEW YORK NY 10019
Kathryn King Sudol officer: General Counsel and Secretary C/O KKR & CO. INC., 30 HUDSON YARDS, NEW YORK NY 10001
Matt Cohler director 2480 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 200, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Raymond J Mcguire director 5 GIRALDA FARMS, MADISON NJ 07940
Ryan Stork officer: Chief Operating Officer 30 HUDSON YARDS, NEW YORK NY 10001
Henry R Kravis director, 10 percent owner, officer: Co-Chairman and Co-CEO C/O KOHLBERG KRAVIS ROBERTS & CO. L.P., 30 HUDSON YARDS, NEW YORK NY 10001
George R Roberts director, 10 percent owner, officer: Co-Chairman and Co-CEO C/O KOHLBERG KRAVIS ROBERTS & CO. L.P., 2800 SAND HILL ROAD, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Evan Spiegel director C/O SNAP INC., 3000 31ST STREET, SANTA MONICA CA 90405
Adriane M Brown director 3150 139TH AVENUE S.E., BELLEVUE WA 98040
Arturo Gutierrez director C/O KKR & CO. INC., 30 HUDSON YARDS, NEW YORK NY 10001
Dane E Holmes director C/O GOLDMAN SACHS & CO. LLC, 200 WEST STREET, NEW YORK NY 10282
Robert W Scully director C/O KKR & CO. INC., 30 HUDSON YARDS, NEW YORK NY 10001
John B Hess director C/O HESS CORPORATION, 1185 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10036
Robert H Lewin officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O KKR & CO. INC., 9 WEST 57TH STREET, SUITE 4200, NEW YORK NY 10019