GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Industrials » Construction » JELD-WEN Holding Inc (NYSE:JELD) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

JELD-WEN Holding (JELD-WEN Holding) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.04% (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 2017. Start your Free Trial

What is JELD-WEN Holding Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, JELD-WEN Holding's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of JELD-WEN Holding's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Building Products & Equipment subindustry, JELD-WEN Holding's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


JELD-WEN Holding's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Construction Industry

For the Construction industry and Industrials sector, JELD-WEN Holding's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where JELD-WEN Holding's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



JELD-WEN Holding Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.77

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.04%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


JELD-WEN Holding  (NYSE:JELD) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


JELD-WEN Holding Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of JELD-WEN Holding's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


JELD-WEN Holding (JELD-WEN Holding) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2645 Silver Crescent Drive, Charlotte, NC, USA, 28273
JELD-WEN Holding Inc is engaged in door and window manufacturing. The company design, produce and distribute interior and exterior building product, offering a selection of doors, windows, walls, and related products. The products are used in the new construction of residential single and multi-family homes and non-residential buildings. The firm's operating segments are North America, Europe, and Australasia. It generates a majority of its revenue from North America.
Executives
Michael F Hilton director 28601 CLEMENS ROAD, WESTLAKE OH 44145
Wendy A. Livingston officer: EVP & CHRO 350 POPLAR CHURCH ROAD, CAMP HILL PA 17011
James S Hayes officer: EVP, GC & Corp Sec 2645 SILVER CRESCENT DRIVE, CHARLOTTE NC 28273
Timothy Craven officer: EVP, Human Resources JELD-WEN HOLDING, INC., 440 S. CHURCH STREET, SUITE 400, CHARLOTTE NC 28202
John Krause officer: SVP & GM, NA 2645 SILVER CRESCENT DRIVE, CHARLOTTE NC 28273
Michael A Leon officer: SVP & Chief Accounting Officer SEALED AIR CORPORATION, 2415 CASCADE POINTE BLVD, CHARLOTTE NC 28208
Turtle Creek Asset Management Inc. 10 percent owner SCOTIA PLAZA, 40 KING STREET WEST, SUITE 5100, TORONTO A6 M5H 3Y2
David G Nord director UNITED TECHNOLOGIES CORP, ONE FINANCIAL PLAZA, HARTFORD CT 06101
Catherine Ann Halligan director 243 CASELLI AVENUE, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94114
Steven E Wynne director 27700 SW PARKWAY AVENUE, WILSONVILLE OR 97070
Kevin C Lilly officer: Interim CEO 2645 SILVER CRESCENT DRIVE, CHARLOTTE NC 28273
Julie C Albrecht officer: EVP & CFO ONE NORTH SECOND STREET, HARTSVILLE SC 29550
William Christensen officer: EVP & President, Europe 2645 SILVER CRESCENT DRIVE, CHARLOTTE NC 28273
Scott Vining officer: SVP & Chief Accounting Officer PARAGON FINANCIAL CORPORATION, 830-13 A1A NORTH, PONTE VEDRA BEACH FL 32082
Roderick Wendt director, other: Vice Chairman JELD-WEN HOLDING, INC., 440 S. CHURCH STREET, SUITE 400, CHARLOTTE NC 28202