GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Real Estate » REITs » Gaming and Leisure Properties Inc (NAS:GLPI) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Gaming and Leisure Properties (Gaming and Leisure Properties) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.03% (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 2013. Start your Free Trial

What is Gaming and Leisure Properties Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Gaming and Leisure Properties's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Gaming and Leisure Properties's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the REIT - Specialty subindustry, Gaming and Leisure Properties's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Gaming and Leisure Properties's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Gaming and Leisure Properties's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Gaming and Leisure Properties's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Gaming and Leisure Properties Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.17

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.03%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Gaming and Leisure Properties  (NAS:GLPI) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Gaming and Leisure Properties Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Gaming and Leisure Properties's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Gaming and Leisure Properties (Gaming and Leisure Properties) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
845 Berkshire Boulevard, Suite 200, Wyomissing, PA, USA, 19610
Gaming and Leisure Properties Inc, or GLP, is a real estate investment property trust primarily involved in the leasing of gaming and related facilities to wholly-owned subsidiaries of Penn National Gaming, or Penn, throughout the U.S. GLP segments its operations into GLP Capital and TRS Properties divisions. The company derives the vast majority of its revenue from its GLP Capital unit in the form of rental income from dockside and land-based casinos located mostly in the American Midwest. Almost all of GLP Capital's leases are long-term agreements that give Penn the option for future extensions. Gaming revenue generated by TRS Properties, which encompasses the operations of Hollywood Casino Perryville and Hollywood Casino Baton Rouge, also represents a significant income stream for GLP.
Executives
Steven Ladany officer: SVP Chief Development Officer 845 BERKSHIRE BLVD., SUITE 200, WYOMISSING PA 19610
Brandon John Moore officer: SVP & General Counsel 845 BERKSHIRE BLVD., SUITE 200, WYOMISSING PA 19610
Matthew Demchyk officer: SVP, Investments 845 BERKSHIRE BOULEVARD, WYOMISSING PA 19610
Desiree A. Burke officer: Chief Accounting Officer 845 BERKSHIRE BOULEVARD, SUITE 200, WYOMISSING PA 19610
Barry F Schwartz director 35 EAST 62ND ST, NEW YORK NY 10021
E Scott Urdang director 845 BERKSHIRE BOULEVARD, SUITE 200, WYOMISSING PA 19610
Joanne A. Epps director, Director C/O PENN, REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST, THE BELLEVUE, 200 S. BROAD STREET, PHILADELPHIA PA 19102
Earl C Shanks director CONVERGYS CORPORATION, 201 EAST FOURTH STREET, CINCINNATI OH 45202
Peter M Carlino director, officer: CEO & President 845 BERKSHIRE BLVD, SUITE 200, WYOMISSING PA 19610
Carol Lynton director C/O EL POLLO HOLDINGS, INC., 3535 HARBOR BOULEVARD, SUITE 100, COSTA MESA CA 92626
Marshall Joseph W Iii director 500 OFFICE CENTER DRIVE, SUITE 400, FT. WASHINGTON PA 19034
David A Handler director 845 BERKSHIRE BLVD, SUITE 200, WYOMISSING PA 19610
William J Clifford officer: CFO, Sec. & Treas. 845 BERKSHIRE BLVD. SUITE 200, WYOMISSING PA 19610
James Perry director
Steven T. Snyder officer: SR VP-Corp Development 845 BERKSHIRE BOULEVARD, SUITE 200, WYOMISSING PA 19610