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Flotek Industries (Flotek Industries) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.06% (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Flotek Industries Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Flotek Industries's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.06%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Flotek Industries's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Oil & Gas Equipment & Services subindustry, Flotek Industries's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Flotek Industries's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Flotek Industries's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Flotek Industries's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Flotek Industries Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.43

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.06%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Flotek Industries  (NYSE:FTK) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Flotek Industries Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Flotek Industries (Flotek Industries) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Energy » Oil & Gas » Flotek Industries Inc (NYSE:FTK) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
8846 North Sam Houston Parkway West, Suite 150, Houston, TX, USA, 77064
Flotek Industries Inc delivers chemistry-based technology solutions for energy, industrial, and consumer applications. It develops and supplies chemistry and services to the oil and gas industries, and high-value compounds to companies that make food and beverages, cleaning products, cosmetics, and others. The company operates in the Chemistry Technologies segment which designs, develops, manufactures, packages, and markets chemistries that market specialty chemicals. Its Data Analytics segment enables users to maximize the value of their hydrocarbon-associated processes by providing analytics associated with the streams in seconds rather than minutes or days.
Executives
David Nierenberg director 19605 NE 8TH STREET, CAMAS WA 98607
Ryan Gillis Ezell officer: SVP, Operations 10603 N. SAM HOUSTON PARKWAY W., SUITE 300, HOUSTON TX 77064
Matthew Wilks director 17010 IH-20, CISCO TX 76437
James Bond Clement officer: Chief Financial Officer 400 E. KALISTE SALOOM ROAD, SUITE 6000, LAFAYETTE LA 70508
Harshavardhan V Agadi director 5755 NORTH POINT PKWAY #266, ALPHARETTA GA 30022
Gibson John W Jr director, officer: CEO and President 10603 W. SAM HOUSTON PKWY N., SUITE 300, HOUSTON TX 77064
Profrac Holding Corp. 10 percent owner 333 SHOPS BOULEVARD, SUITE 301, WILLOW PARK TX 76087
Evan R Farber director 7903 KENTUCKY AVE., BETHESDA MD 20814
Seham Saleh Carson officer: Interim CFO 3318 RAVENS ROOST, MISSOURI CITY TX 77459
Profrac Holdings Ii, Llc 10 percent owner 333 SHOPS BLVD., SUITE 301, WILLOW PARK TX 76087
Profrac Holdings, Llc 10 percent owner 333 SHOPS BLVD., SUITE 301, WILLOW PARK TX 76087
Thrc Management, Llc 10 percent owner 17018 INTERSTATE 20, CISCO TX 76437
Thrc Holdings, Lp 10 percent owner 17018 INTERSTATE 20, CISCO TX 76437
Staci Wilks 10 percent owner 17018 INTERSTATE 20, CISCO TX 76437
Farris Wilks 10 percent owner 17018 INTERSTATE 20, CISCO TX 76437