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Floor & Decor Holdings (Floor & Decor Holdings) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.04% (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Floor & Decor Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Floor & Decor Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Floor & Decor Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Home Improvement Retail subindustry, Floor & Decor Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Floor & Decor Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Floor & Decor Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Floor & Decor Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Floor & Decor Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.85

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.04%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Floor & Decor Holdings  (NYSE:FND) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Floor & Decor Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Floor & Decor Holdings (Floor & Decor Holdings) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2500 Windy Ridge Parkway SE, Atlanta, GA, USA, 30339
Floor & Decor Holdings Inc operates as a specialty retailer in the hard surface flooring market. Its stores offer a range of tile, wood, laminate, and natural stone flooring products, as well as decorative and installation accessories at everyday low prices. It appeals to a variety of customers including professional installers, commercial businesses, Do It Yourself (DIY) customers, and customers who buy the products for professional installation. Geographically, the group has a presence in the US region and also offers its product through an e-commerce site.
Executives
David Victor Christopherson officer: SVP & General Counsel 2233 LAKE PARK DRIVE, STE. 400, SMYRNA GA 30080
Thomas V Taylor director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 2233 LAKE PARK DRIVE, STE. 400, SMYRNA GA 30080
Steven Alan Denny officer: EVP, Store Operations C/O FLOOR & DECOR HOLDINGS, INC., 2500 WINDY RIDGE PARKWAY SE, ATLANTA GA 30339
Melissa Kersey director TRACTOR SUPPLY, 5401 VIRGINIA WAY, BRENTWOOD TN 37027
Richard L Sullivan director 2233 LAKE PARK DRIVE, SMYRNA GA 30080
Bryan Langley officer: EVP & Chief Financial Officer C/O FLOOR & DECOR HOLDINGS, INC., 2500 WINDY RIDGE PARKWAY SE, ATLANTA GA 30339
Luke Olson officer: Chief Accounting Officer C/O FLOOR & DECOR HOLDINGS, INC., 2500 WINDY RIDGE PARKWAY SE, ATLANTA GA 30339
Ryan Marshall director 24311 WALDEN CENTER DR, STE 300, BONITA SPRINGS FL 34134
William T Giles director 123 S. FRONT STREET, DEPT. 8074, MEMPHIS TN 38103
Felicia D Thornton director 250 PARKCENTER BLVD PO BOX 20, BOISE ID 83726
Ersan Sayman officer: EVP - MERCHANDISING C/O FLOOR & DECOR HOLDINGS, INC., 2500 WINDY RIDGE PARKWAY SE, ATLANTA GA 30339
Peter Starrett director
Brian K Robbins officer: EVP-Supply Chain 2233 LAKE PARK DRIVE, SMYRNA GA 30080
Dwight Lamar James director C/O FLOOR & DECOR HOLDINGS, INC., 2500 WINDY RIDGE PARKWAY, SE, ATLANTA GA 30339
Norman Axelrod director