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Full House Resorts (Full House Resorts) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.13% (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Full House Resorts Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Full House Resorts's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.13%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Full House Resorts's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Resorts & Casinos subindustry, Full House Resorts's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Full House Resorts's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Full House Resorts's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Full House Resorts's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Full House Resorts Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-6.63

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.13%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Full House Resorts  (NAS:FLL) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Full House Resorts Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Full House Resorts (Full House Resorts) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1980 Festival Plaza Drive, Suite 680, One Summerlin, Las Vegas, NV, USA, 89135
Full House Resorts Inc owns, operates, develops, manages, and invests in casinos and related hospitality and entertainment facilities. It offers facilities related to gaming, hotel, dining, entertainment, retail, and other amenities. The group's operating segments include the Bronco Billy's Casino and Hotel in Colorado, The Temporary by American Place in Illinois, Rising Star Casino Resort in Indiana, Silver Slipper Casino and Hotel in Mississippi, Grand Lodge Casino in Nevada, and Contracted Sports Wagering. There are some under-construction projects too. Geographically, the casino operations of the company are managed in the United States. It derives revenues from the operating casinos.
Executives
Kathleen M Caracciolo director 5922 CLOVERLEAF DRIVE, MAYS LANDING NJ 08330
Eric J Green director C/O FULL HOUSE RESORTS, INC., 1980 FESTIVAL PLAZA DRIVE, SUITE 680, LAS VEGAS NV 89135
Daniel R Lee director, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O CREATIVE CASINOS LLC, 10801 W CHARLESTON BLVD #420, LAS VEGAS NV 89135
Lewis A. Fanger officer: Sr. VP, CFO and Treasurer C/O FULL HOUSE RESORTS, INC., 4670 S. FORT APACHE ROAD, SUITE 190, LAS VEGAS NV 89147
Michael A. Hartmeier director C/O DIAMONDROCK HOSPITALITY COMPANY, 2 BETHESDA METRO CENTER, SUITE 1400, BETHESDA MD 20814
Carl G Braunlich director 4670 SOUTH FORT APACHE ROAD, SUITE 190, LAS VEGAS NV 89147
Elaine Guidroz officer: Secretary C/O FULL HOUSE RESORTS, INC., 777 RISING STAR DRIVE, RISING SUN IN 47040
Kenneth Robert Adams director 210 MARSH AVE SUITE 103, RENO NV 89509
Lynn M Handler director C/O FULL HOUSE RESORTS, INC., 1980 FESTIVAL PLAZA DRIVE, SUITE 680, LAS VEGAS NV 89135
John Ferrucci officer: Chief Operating Officer C/O FULL HOUSE RESORTS, INC., 1980 FESTIVAL PLAZA DRIVE, SUITE 680, LAS VEGAS NV 89135
Michael P Shaunnessy director 50 BRIAR HOLLOW LANE, STE 500W, HOUSTON TX 77027
Bradley M Tirpak director 50 ORCHARD ST., NEW YORK NY 10002
Craig W Thomas director 2100 CRESCENT AVENUE, CHARLOTTE NC 28207
Ellis Landau director CO PINNACLE ENTERTAINMENT INC, 8918 SPANISH RIDGE AVENUE, LAS VEGAS NV 89148
Garrett W.h. Baird director C/O ELASTIC N.V., 800 WEST EL CAMINO REAL SUITE 350, MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94040