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Diamondback Energy (Diamondback Energy) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.01% (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Diamondback Energy Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Diamondback Energy's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Diamondback Energy's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Oil & Gas E&P subindustry, Diamondback Energy's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Diamondback Energy's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Diamondback Energy's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Diamondback Energy's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Diamondback Energy Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.91

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.01%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Diamondback Energy  (NAS:FANG) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Diamondback Energy Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Diamondback Energy (Diamondback Energy) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Energy » Oil & Gas » Diamondback Energy Inc (NAS:FANG) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
500 West Texas Avenue, Suite 1200, Midland, TX, USA, 79701
Diamondback Energy is an independent oil and gas producer in the United States. The company operates exclusively in the Permian Basin. At the end of 2022, the company reported net proven reserves of 2 billion barrels of oil equivalent. Net production averaged about 386,000 barrels per day in 2022, at a ratio of 58% oil, 21% natural gas liquids, and 21% natural gas.
Executives
Van't Hof Matthew Kaes officer: Sr. VP - Strategy & Corp Dev 500 WEST TEXAS, SUITE 1200, MIDLAND TX 79701
David L Houston director 14313 NORTH MAY AVENUE, OKLAHOMA CITY OK 73134
Matt Zmigrosky officer: Exec. VP and General Counsel 500 WEST TEXAS AVENUE, SUITE 1200, MIDLAND TX 79701
Steven E West director 411 WEST PUTNAM AVE., SUITE 125, GREENWICH CT 06830
Daniel N Wesson officer: Exec. VP - Operations 500 WEST TEXAS AVENUE, SUITE 1200, MIDLAND TX 79701
Travis D. Stice director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 500 WEST TEXAS, SUITE 1225, MIDLAND TX 79701
Frank D. Tsuru director 500 WEST TEXAS AVENUE, SUITE 1200, MIDLAND TX 79701
Rebecca A Klein director 1411 E MISSION AVE, SPOKANE WA 99202
Teresa L. Dick officer: CFO, Exec. VP, Assist. Sec. 500 WEST TEXAS, SUITE 1225, MIDLAND TX 79701
Jennifer Soliman officer: Sr. VP and Chief HR Officer 500 WEST TEXAS, SUITE 1200, MIDLAND TX 79701
Russell Pantermuehl officer: Exec. VP Reservoir Engineering 500 WEST TEXAS, SUITE 1225, MIDLAND TX 79701
Michael P Cross director 515 CENTRAL PARK, OKLAHOMA CITY OK 73101
Thomas F. Hawkins officer: Sr. VP - Land 500 WEST TEXAS, SUITE 1200, MIDLAND TX 79701
Stephanie K. Mains director C/O GATES INDUSTRIAL CORPORATION PLC, 1144 FIFTEENTH STREET, SUITE 1400, DENVER CO 80202
Vincent K Brooks director 900 POLO CLUB DRIVE, AUSTIN TX 78737