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Darling Ingredients (Darling Ingredients) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.05% (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Darling Ingredients Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Darling Ingredients's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.05%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Darling Ingredients's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, Darling Ingredients's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Darling Ingredients's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Darling Ingredients's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Darling Ingredients's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Darling Ingredients Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.61

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.05%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Darling Ingredients  (NYSE:DAR) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Darling Ingredients Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Darling Ingredients (Darling Ingredients) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
5601 N MacArthur Boulevard, Irving, TX, USA, 75038
Darling Ingredients Inc develops and manufactures sustainable ingredients for customers in the pharmaceutical, food, pet food, fuel, and fertilizer industries. It collects and transforms all aspects of animal by-product streams into ingredients, including gelatin, fats, proteins, pet food ingredients, fertilizers, and other specialty products. Also, the company recovers and converts used cooking oil and bakery remnants into feed and fuel ingredients. Darling has three primary business segments: feed ingredients (the majority of revenue), food ingredients, and fuel ingredients. It provides grease trap services for food businesses and sells various equipment for collecting and delivering cooking oil. The company derives the majority of its revenue from customers in North America.
Executives
Joseph Manzi officer: Chief Accounting Officer 5601 N. MACARTHUR BLVD., IRVING TX 75038
Robert W Day officer: EVP Chief Strategy Officer 5601 N. MACARTHUR BLVD, IRVING TX 75038
Matthew J Jansen officer: COO North America C/O DARLING INGREDIENTS INC., 5601 N. MACARTHUR BLVD, IRVING TX 75038
Patrick Mcnutt officer: EVP Chief Admin Officer 5601 N. MACARTHUR BLVD, IRVING TX 75038
Charles L Adair director 251 O'CONNOR RIDGE BLVD., SUITE 300, IRVING TX 75038
John Bullock officer: EVP Chief Strategy Officer 251 O'CONNOR RIDGE BLVD., SUITE 300, IRVING TX 75038
Randall C Stuewe director, officer: Chairman and CEO
Van Der Velden Jan officer: EVP Int Rendering&Specialties 251 O'CONNOR RIDGE BLVD, SUITE 300, IRVING TX 75038
Gary W. Mize director GEVO, INC., 345 INVERNESS DRIVE SOUTH, BUILDING C, SUITE 310, ENGLEWOOD CO 80112
Brandon Lairmore officer: EVP US Rendering Operations 4221 E. ALEXANDRIA PIKE, COLD SPRING KY 41076
Larry Barden director 5601 N. MACARTHUR BLVD, IRVING TX 75038
Enderson Guimaraes director PEPSICO, INC., 700 ANDERSON HILL ROAD, PURCHASE NY 10577
Celeste A. Clark director C/O ADVANCEPIERRE FOODS HOLDINGS, INC., 9987 CARVER ROAD, BLUE ASH OH 45242
Kurt Stoffel director 5601 N. MACARTHUR BLVD, IRVING TX 75038
Elizabeth Albright director C/O THE CHEMOURS COMPANY, 1007 MARKET STREET, WILMINGTON DE 19898