GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Biotechnology » Corcept Therapeutics Inc (NAS:CORT) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Corcept Therapeutics (Corcept Therapeutics) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.02% (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 2004. Start your Free Trial

What is Corcept Therapeutics Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Corcept Therapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Corcept Therapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Corcept Therapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Corcept Therapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Corcept Therapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Corcept Therapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Corcept Therapeutics Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.32

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.02%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Corcept Therapeutics  (NAS:CORT) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Corcept Therapeutics Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Corcept Therapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Corcept Therapeutics (Corcept Therapeutics) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
149 Commonwealth Drive, Menlo Park, CA, USA, 94025
Corcept Therapeutics Inc is a commercial-stage pharmaceutical company engaged in the discovery and development of medications that treat severe metabolic, oncologic and neuropsychiatric disorders by modulating the effect of the hormone cortisol.
Executives
Swisher Daniel N Jr director C/O SUNESIS PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 395 OYSTER POINT BLVD., SUITE 400, SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
William Guyer officer: Chief Development Officer C/O CORCEPT THERAPEUTICS INCORPORATED, 149 COMMONWEALTH DRIVE, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Gary Charles Robb officer: CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER C/O 149 COMMONWEALTH DRIVE, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Joseph Douglas Lyon officer: Chief Accounting Officer C/O CORCEPT THERAPEUTICS INCORPORATED, 149 COMMONWEALTH DRIVE, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Sean Maduck officer: See Remarks C/O CORCEPT THERAPEUTICS INCORPORATED, 149 COMMONWEALTH DRIVE, MENLO PARK CA 94025
David L Mahoney director SYMANTEC CORPORATION, 20330 STEVENS CREEK BLVD., CUPERTINO CA 95014
Hazel Hunt officer: Chief Scientific Officer C/O CORCEPT THERAPEUTICS INCORPORATED, 149 COMMONWEALTH DRIVE, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Joseph K Belanoff director, officer: CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER 149 COMMONWEALTH DRIVE, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Baker G Leonard Jr director, 10 percent owner 755 PAGE MILL ROAD, SUITE A-200, PALO ALTO CA 94304-1005
Joshua M. Murray director C/O CORCEPT THERAPEUTICS INCORPORATED, 149 COMMONWEALTH DRIVE, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Atabak Mokari officer: Chief Financial Officer 1212 TERRA BELLA AVENUE, MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94043
Gillian Cannon director C/O CORCEPT THERAPEUTICS INCORPORATED, 149 COMMONWEALTH DRIVE, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Gregg H Alton director 333 LAKESIDE DRIVE, FOSTER CITY CA 94404
Kimberly Park director C/O CORCEPT THERAPEUTICS INCORPORATED, 149 COMMONWEALTH DRIVE, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Andreas Grauer officer: Chief Medical Officer C/O CORCEPT THERAPEUTICS INCORPORATED, 149 COMMONWEALTH DRIVE, MENLO PARK CA 94025