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Cinemark Holdings (Cinemark Holdings) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.05% (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Cinemark Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Cinemark Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.05%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Cinemark Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Entertainment subindustry, Cinemark Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Cinemark Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Media - Diversified Industry

For the Media - Diversified industry and Communication Services sector, Cinemark Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Cinemark Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Cinemark Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.57

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.05%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Cinemark Holdings  (NYSE:CNK) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Cinemark Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Cinemark Holdings (Cinemark Holdings) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
3900 Dallas Parkway, Suite 500, Plano, TX, USA, 75093
Cinemark Holdings Inc is geographically diverse operators in the motion picture exhibition industry in the United States. The company operates in around 518 theatres and 5,847 screens in the United States and Latin America. The company generates revenue from filmed entertainment box office receipts and concession sales, with additional revenue from screen advertising, screen rental and other revenue streams, such as transactional fees, vendor marketing promotions, studio trailer placements, meeting rentals and electronic video games located in some of the theatres. Majority of Cinemark's theaters are located in midsize cities or suburbs of large cities.
Executives
Kevin Leroy Mitchell director 3900 DALLAS PARKWAY, PLANO TX 75093
Enrique Senior director 711 FIFTH AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10022
Wanda Marie Gierhart officer: EVP - Chief Marketing Officer 3900 DALLAS PARKWAY, PLANO TX 75093
Caren Bedard officer: SVP-Global Controller 3900 DALLAS PARKWAY, SUITE 500, PLANO TX 75093
Michael Cavalier officer: SVP-General Counsel 3900 DALLAS PARKWAY, SUITE 500, PLANO TX 75093
Melissa Thomas officer: EVP, Chief Financial Officer 600 WEST CHICAGO AVE, STE 400, CHICAGO IL 60654
Valmir Fernandes officer: Pr - Cinemark International 3900 DALLAS PARKWAY, SUITE 500, PLANO TX 75093
Mark Zoradi director C/O DREAMWORKS ANIMATION SKG, INC., 1000 FLOWER STREET, GLENDALE CA 91201
Ximena G Humrichouse director 1230 RIVER BEND DRIVE, SUITE 215, DALLAS TX 75247
Lee Roy Mitchell director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman of the Board
Sean Gamble officer: Chief Financial Officer 3900 DALLAS PARKWAY, SUITE 500, PLANO TX 75093
Tom Owens officer: SVP - Real Estate 3900 DALLAS PARKWAY, SUITE 500, PLANO TX 75093
Nancy S. Loewe director 351 PHELPS DRIVE, IRVING TX 75038
Timothy Warner officer: President and COO 3900 DALLAS PARKWAY, SUITE 500, PLANO TX 75093
Robert Copple officer: Chief Financial Officer 3900 DALLAS PARKWAY, SUITE 500, PLANO TX 75093