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C.H. Robinson Worldwide (C.H. Robinson Worldwide) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.06% (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is C.H. Robinson Worldwide Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, C.H. Robinson Worldwide's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.06%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of C.H. Robinson Worldwide's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Integrated Freight & Logistics subindustry, C.H. Robinson Worldwide's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


C.H. Robinson Worldwide's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, C.H. Robinson Worldwide's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where C.H. Robinson Worldwide's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



C.H. Robinson Worldwide Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.45

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.06%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


C.H. Robinson Worldwide  (NAS:CHRW) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


C.H. Robinson Worldwide Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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C.H. Robinson Worldwide (C.H. Robinson Worldwide) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
14701 Charlson Road, Eden Prairie, MN, USA, 55347-5088
C.H. Robinson is a top-tier non-asset-based third-party logistics provider with a significant focus on domestic freight brokerage (about 60% of 2022 net revenue), which reflects mostly truck brokerage but also rail intermodal. Additionally, the firm operates a large air and ocean forwarding division (30%), which has grown organically and via tuck-in acquisitions over the years. The remainder of revenue consists of the European truck-brokerage division, transportation management services, and a legacy produce-sourcing operation.
Executives
Winship Henry Ward Iv director PO BOX 8614, RANCHO SANTA FE CA 92067
David P Bozeman director, officer: President & CEO 100 NE ADAMS STREET, PEORIA IL 61629
Angela K. Freeman officer: Vice President-Human Resources 14701 CHARLSON ROAD, EDEN PRAIRIE MN 55437
Michael John Short officer: President, Global Forwarding 14701 CHARLESON ROAD, EDEN PRAIRIE MN 55347
Mac S Pinkerton officer: Pres. of North America Trans. 14701 CHARLSON ROAD, EDEN PRAIRIE MN 55330
James J. Barber director 55 GLENLAKE PARKWAY, NE, ATLANTA GA 30328
Jordan T Kass officer: President, Managed Services 14701 CHARLSON ROAD, EDEN PRAIRIE MN 55347
Henry J Maier director 1000 FEDEX DRIVE, MOON TOWNSHIP PA 15108
Michael Paul Zechmeister officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O UNITED NATURAL FOODS, INC., 313 IRON HORSE WAY, PROVIDENCE RI 02908
Chris Obrien officer: Vice President 8100 MITCHELL RD, STE 200, EDEN PRAIRIE MN 55344
Michael D. Castagnetto officer: President of Robinson Fresh 14701 CHARLSON ROAD, EDEN PRAIRIE MN 55437
Ben G Campbell officer: VP-General Counsel & Secretary 14701 CHARLSON ROAD, EDEN PRAIRIE MN 55437
Biesterfeld Robert C Jr officer: President, N American Surface 14701 CHARLSON RD, EDEN PRAIRIE MN 55347
Mark A. Goodburn director 14701 CHARLSON ROAD, EDEN PRAIRIE MN 55347
Arun Rajan officer: Chief Product Officer 14701 CHARLSON ROAD, EDEN PRAIRIE MN 55347