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Crescent Capital BDC (Crescent Capital BDC) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.03% (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Crescent Capital BDC Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Crescent Capital BDC's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Crescent Capital BDC's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Asset Management subindustry, Crescent Capital BDC's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Crescent Capital BDC's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Asset Management Industry

For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, Crescent Capital BDC's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Crescent Capital BDC's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Crescent Capital BDC Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.20

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.03%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For banks, CASHMTA is measured as:


4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Crescent Capital BDC  (NAS:CCAP) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Crescent Capital BDC Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Crescent Capital BDC (Crescent Capital BDC) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
11100 Santa Monica Boulevard, Suite 2000, Los Angeles, CA, USA, 90025
Crescent Capital BDC Inc is a business development company structured as an externally managed, closed-end, non-diversified management investment company. The company's primary investment objective is to maximize the total return to its stockholders in the form of current income and capital appreciation through debt and related equity investments. It will seek to achieve its investment objectives by investing in secured debt (including senior secured, unitranche, and second lien debt) and unsecured debt (including senior unsecured, mezzanine, and subordinated debt), as well as related equity securities of private U.S. middle-market companies.
Executives
Michael Scott Segal director C/O CRESCENT CAPITAL BDC, INC., 11100 SANTA MONICA BLVD., SUITE 2000, LOS ANGELES CA 90025
Steven F. Strandberg director C/O CRESCENT CAPITAL BDC, INC., 11100 SANTA MONICA BLVD., SUITE 2000, LOS ANGELES CA 90025
Strong George G. Jr. director C/O CRESCENT CAPITAL BDC, INC., 11100 SANTA MONICA BLVD., SUITE 2000, LOS ANGELES CA 90025
Susan Y Lee director 11100 SANTA MONICA BLVD, SUITE 2000, LOS ANGELES CA 90025
George Hawley officer: Secretary C/O CRESCENT CAPITAL GROUP LP, 11100 SANTA MONICA BLVD., SUITE 2000, LOS ANGELES CA 90025
Gerhard Lombard officer: Chief Financial Officer 600 FIFTH AVENUE, 19TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10020
Erik G Barrios officer: Senior Vice President C/O CRESCENT CAPITAL GROUP, 299 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10171
Kirill Bouek officer: Controller 10 HUDSON YARDS, 41ST FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10001
Joseph Hanlon officer: Chief Compliance Officer C/O CRESCENT CAPITAL BDC, INC., 11100 SANTA MONICA BLVD., SUITE 2000, LOS ANGELES CA 90025
Jason Breaux officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O CRESCENT CAPITAL BDC, INC., 11100 SANTA MONICA BLVD., SUITE 2000, LOS ANGELES CA 90025
Raymond Barrios officer: Senior Vice President 11100 SANTA MONICA BLVD, SUITE 2000, LOS ANGELES CA 90025
Watsa V Prem Et Al 10 percent owner 95 WELLINGTON STREET WEST, SUITE 800, TORONTO A6 M5J 2N7
Elizabeth Ko director 11100 SANTA MONICA BLVD, SUITE 2000, LOS ANGELES CA 90025
Allied World Assurance Co Holdings, Gmbh 10 percent owner PARK TOWER, 15TH FLOOR, GUBELSTRASSE 24, ZUG V8 6300
Kathleen S Briscoe director GRIFFIN CAPITAL PLAZA, 1520 EAST GRAND AVENUE, EL SEGUNDO CA 90245

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