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BRP Group (BRP Group) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.07% (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is BRP Group Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, BRP Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.07%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of BRP Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Insurance Brokers subindustry, BRP Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


BRP Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Insurance Industry

For the Insurance industry and Financial Services sector, BRP Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where BRP Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



BRP Group Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.30

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.07%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


BRP Group  (NAS:BRP) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


BRP Group Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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BRP Group (BRP Group) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Insurance » BRP Group Inc (NAS:BRP) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
4211 W. Boy Scout Boulevard, Suite 200, Tampa, FL, USA, 33607
BRP Group Inc is a United States-based insurance distribution firm. Its products include commercial property and casualty, or P&C, insurance, employee benefits insurance and personal lines insurance. The company operates its business through four segments including Middle Market, Specialty, Mainstreet, and Medicare. It generates maximum revenue from the Middle Market segment.
Executives
Bradford Hale officer: Chief Accounting Officer 4010 W BOY SCOUT BLVD, SUITE 200, TAMPA FL 33607
John A. Valentine officer: Chief Partnership Officer 4010 W. BOY SCOUT BLVD. SUITE 200, TAMPA FL 33607
Laura Sherman 10 percent owner, other: Member of 10% owner group 4010 W BOY SCOUT BLVD, SUITE 200, TAMPA FL 33607
Lowry Baldwin director, officer: Chairman 4010 W. BOY SCOUT BLVD. SUITE 200, TAMPA FL 33607
Daniel Galbraith officer: Chief Operating Officer 4010 W. BOY SCOUT BLVD. SUITE 200, TAMPA FL 33607
Trevor Baldwin director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 4010 W. BOY SCOUT BLVD. SUITE 200, TAMPA FL 33607
Kristopher Aaron Wiebeck officer: Chief Financial Officer 4010 W. BOY SCOUT BLVD. SUITE 200, TAMPA FL 33607
Seth Bala Cohen officer: General Counsel C/O BRP GROUP, INC., 4211 W. BOY SCOUT BLVD., SUITE 800, TAMPA FL 33607
Sathish Muthukrishnan director 601 S. TRYON STREET, CHARLOTTE NC 28202
Baldwin Insurance Group Holdings, Llc 10 percent owner, other: Member of 10% owner group 4010 W. BOY SCOUT BLVD. SUITE 200, TAMPA FL 33607
Ellyn Shook director C/O ACCENTURE, 161 N. CLARK STREET, CHICAGO IL 60601
Myron K Williams director C/O BRP GROUP, INC., 4211 W. BOY SCOUT BLVD., SUITE 800, TAMPA FL 33607
Sunita Parasuraman director C/O BRP GROUP, INC., 4211 W. BOY SCOUT BLVD., SUITE 800, TAMPA FL 33607
Jay A Cohen director C/O BRP GROUP, INC., 4211 W. BOY SCOUT BLVD., SUITE 800, TAMPA FL 33607
Galloway Corbyn N. officer: Chief Accounting Officer C/O BRP GROUP, INC., 4211 W. BOY SCOUT BLVD., SUITE 800, TAMPA FL 33607

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