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Altice USA (Altice USA) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.58% (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Altice USA Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Altice USA's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.58%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Altice USA's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Telecom Services subindustry, Altice USA's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Altice USA's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Telecommunication Services Industry

For the Telecommunication Services industry and Communication Services sector, Altice USA's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Altice USA's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Altice USA Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-5.15

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.58%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Altice USA  (NYSE:ATUS) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Altice USA Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Altice USA (Altice USA) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1 Court Square West, Long Island City, New York, NY, USA, 11101
Altice Europe acquired privately held U.S. cable company Suddenlink in 2015 and Cablevision in 2016. Suddenlink's networks provide television, internet access, and phone services to roughly 3.5 million U.S. homes and businesses located primarily in smaller markets, with major clusters in Texas, West Virginia, Idaho, Arizona, and Louisiana. Cablevision provides comparable services to about 5.5 million homes and business in the New York City metro area. Both regions operate under the Optimum brand name. Altice Europe spun off Altice USA, which includes both the Suddenlink and Cablevision operations, to shareholders in 2018. Altice USA also owns News 12 Networks, which broadcasts local news in New York, i24News, a news operation focused on the Middle East, and Cheddar, a news upstart.
Executives
Alexandre Fonseca director 1 COURT SQUARE WEST, LONG ISLAND CITY NY 11101
Marc Sirota officer: Chief Financial Officer 1 COURT SQUARE WEST, LONG ISLAND CITY NY 11101
Patrick Drahi director, 10 percent owner WIESTISTRASSE 14, ZERMATT V8 3920
Next Alt S.a.r.l. director, 10 percent owner 5, RUE EUGENE RUPPERT, GRAND DUCHY OF LUXEMBOURG N4 L-2453
Dennis Mathew officer: Chief Executive Officer 1 COURT SQUARE WEST, LONG ISLAND CITY NY 11101
Maria Bruzzese officer: Chief Accounting Officer 1 COURT SQUARE WEST, LONG ISLAND CITY NY 11101
Charles Stewart officer: Co-President & CFO 1111 STEWART AVENUE, BETHPAGE NY 11714
Mark Mullen director 1111 STEWART AVENUE, BETHPAGE NY 11714
Susan C Schnabel director C/O CREDIT SUISSE FIRST BOSTON, 11 MADISON AVE, NEW YORK NY 10010
Gerrit Jan Bakker director 15 RUE PIERRE FATIO 6TH FLOOR, GENEVA V8 1204
Raymond Svider director 650 MADISON AVENUE, 23RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Michael Olsen officer: Acting Gen Counsel & Secretary 1 COURT SQUARE W, LONG ISLAND CITY NY 11101
Michael Grau officer: Chief Financial Officer 1 COURT SQUARE W, LONG ISLAND CITY NY 11101
Soroban Opportunities Master Fund Lp 10 percent owner WALKERS CORPORATE LIMITED, CAYMAN CORPORATE CENTRE, 27 HOSPITAL RD, GEORGE TOWN E9 KY1-9008
Soroban Capital Gp Llc 10 percent owner 55 WEST 46TH STREET, 32ND FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10036