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Zimmer Biomet Holdings (Zimmer Biomet Holdings) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $62.38 (As of Dec23)


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What is Zimmer Biomet Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Dec23, Zimmer Biomet Holdings's earnings power value is $62.38. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is -91.34

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Zimmer Biomet Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Zimmer Biomet Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Zimmer Biomet Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Zimmer Biomet Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 17.09 20.71 17.48 61.56 62.38

Zimmer Biomet Holdings Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 61.56 61.02 59.68 59.25 62.38

Competitive Comparison of Zimmer Biomet Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Medical Devices subindustry, Zimmer Biomet Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Zimmer Biomet Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Medical Devices & Instruments Industry

For the Medical Devices & Instruments industry and Healthcare sector, Zimmer Biomet Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Zimmer Biomet Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Zimmer Biomet Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Zimmer Biomet Holdings's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 7,054
DDA 944
Operating Margin % 15.64
SGA * 25% 725
Tax Rate % -3.74
Maintenance Capex 214
Cash and Cash Equivalents 416
Short-Term Debt 900
Long-Term Debt 5,013
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 209

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 15.64%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $7,054 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 15.64%, Average Adjusted SGA = 725,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 7,054 * 15.64% +725 = $1828.308136 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = -3.74%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $1828.308136 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 1828.308136 * ( 1 - -3.74% ) = $1896.6502941237 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 944 * 0.5 * -3.74% = $-17.6444814 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 1896.6502941237 + -17.6444814 = $1879.0058127237 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Zimmer Biomet Holdings's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $214 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Zimmer Biomet Holdings's current cash and cash equivalent = $416 Mil.
Zimmer Biomet Holdings's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 5,013 + 900 = $5912.6 Mil.
Zimmer Biomet Holdings's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 209 Mil.

Zimmer Biomet Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Dec23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 1879.0058127237 - 214)/ 9%+416-5912.6 )/209
=62.38

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 62.376190392949-119.35 )/62.376190392949
= -91.34%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Zimmer Biomet Holdings  (NYSE:ZBH) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Zimmer Biomet Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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Zimmer Biomet Holdings (Zimmer Biomet Holdings) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
345 East Main Street, Warsaw, IN, USA, 46580
Zimmer Biomet designs, manufactures, and markets orthopedic reconstructive implants, as well as supplies and surgical equipment for orthopedic surgery. With the acquisitions of Centerpulse in 2003 and Biomet in 2015, Zimmer holds the leading share of the reconstructive market in the United States, Europe, and Japan. Roughly two thirds of total revenue is derived from sales of large joints, another quarter comes from extremities, trauma, sports medicine, and related surgical products. The firm spun out its dental and spine businesses in 2022.
Executives
Syed A. Jafry director 345 E. MAIN STREET, WARSAW IN 46580
Sreelakshmi Kolli director C/O ALIGN TECHNOLOGY INC., 2820 ORCHARD PARKWAY, SAN JOSE CA 94131
Christopher B Begley director
Robert Hagemann director 3 GIRALDA FARMS, MADISON NJ 07940
Michael W Michelson director 2800 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 200, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Betsy J Bernard director 711 HIGH STREET, DES MOINES IA 50392-0300
Arthur J Higgins director C/O ZIMMER, INC., P.O. BOX 708, WARSAW IN 46580
Chad F Phipps officer: Assoc. Gen. Counsel, Corp. Sec C/O ZIMMER, INC., P.O. BOX 708, WARSAW IN 46580
Zuilen Wilfred Van officer: Pres, Europe, M. East & Africa 345 E. MAIN STREET, WARSAW IN 46580
Paul A Stellato officer: VP, Controller & CAO C/O XYLEM INC, 1 INTERNATIONAL DRIVE, RYE BROOK NY 10573
Sang Yi officer: President, Asia Pacific 345 E. MAIN STREET, WARSAW IN 46580
Lori Winkler officer: SVP and CHRO 345 E. MAIN STREET, WARSAW IN 46580
Rachel Ellingson officer: SVP & CSO 345 E MAIN STREET, WARSAW K7 46580
Bryan C Hanson director, officer: President and CEO ZIMMER BIOMET HOLDINGS, 345 E. MAIN STREET, WARSAW IN 46580
Aure Bruneau officer: Group President 345 E. MAIN STREET, WARSAW IN 46580