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Raymond James Financial (Raymond James Financial) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $-4.44 (As of Mar24)


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What is Raymond James Financial Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Mar24, Raymond James Financial's earnings power value is $-4.44. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Raymond James Financial Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Raymond James Financial's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Raymond James Financial Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Raymond James Financial Annual Data
Trend Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 16.15 42.50 54.37 53.56 67.56

Raymond James Financial Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 63.43 64.72 67.56 71.52 -

Competitive Comparison of Raymond James Financial's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Capital Markets subindustry, Raymond James Financial's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Raymond James Financial's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Capital Markets Industry

For the Capital Markets industry and Financial Services sector, Raymond James Financial's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Raymond James Financial's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Raymond James Financial Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Raymond James Financial's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 9,957
DDA 133
Operating Margin % 0.00
SGA * 25% 1,722
Tax Rate % 23.06
Maintenance Capex 101
Cash and Cash Equivalents 0
Short-Term Debt 0
Long-Term Debt 0
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 213

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 0.00%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $9,957 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 0.00%, Average Adjusted SGA = 1,722,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 9,957 * 0.00% +1,722 = $ Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 23.06%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $ Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = * ( 1 - 23.06% ) = $0 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 133 * 0.5 * 23.06% = $15.311176 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 0 + 15.311176 = $15.311176 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Raymond James Financial's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $101 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Raymond James Financial's current cash and cash equivalent = $0 Mil.
Raymond James Financial's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 0 + 0 = $0 Mil.
Raymond James Financial's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 213 Mil.

Raymond James Financial's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Mar24 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 15.311176 - 101)/ 9%+0-0 )/213
=-4.44

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( -4.4396971779652-121.86 )/-4.4396971779652
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Raymond James Financial  (NYSE:RJF) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Raymond James Financial Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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Raymond James Financial (Raymond James Financial) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
880 Carillon Parkway, Saint Petersburg, FL, USA, 33716
Raymond James Financial is a financial holding company whose major operations include wealth management, investment banking, asset management, and commercial banking. The company supports more than 8,000 employee and independent contractor financial advisors across the United States, Canada, and the United Kingdom with over $1.2 trillion of assets under administration as of September 2023. Approximately 90% of the company's revenue is from the U.S. and 70% is from the company's wealth-management segment.
Executives
Steven M Raney officer: President & CEO RJBank 880 CARILLON PARKWAY, ST. PETERSBURG FL 33716
Paul C Reilly director 880 CARILLON PARKWAY, ST. PETERSBURG FL 33716
Jeffrey A Dowdle officer: President, AMS - RJA 880 CARILLON PARKWAY, ST. PETERSBURG FL 33716
Horace Carter officer: President, Fixed Income 1100 RIDGEWAY LOOP ROAD, MEMPHIS TN 38120
Art A Garcia director 11690 N.W. 105TH STREET, MIAMI FL 33178
Raymond W Mcdaniel director 7 WORLD TRADE CENTER, 250 GREENWICH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10007
Jodi Perry officer: President, ICD for RJFS 880 CARILLON PARKWAY, SAINT PETERSBURG FL 33716
George Catanese officer: Executive Vice President 880 CARILLON PARKWAY, ST. PETERSBURG X1 33716
Thomas A James director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman/CEO 880 CARILLON PARKWAY, ST. PETERSBURG FL 33772
James E Bunn officer: Co-Pres-GlobEq&Inv Banking-RJA 880 CARILLON PARKWAY, SAINT PETERSBURG FL 33716
Christopher S Aisenbrey officer: Chief Human Resources Officer 880 CARILLON PARKWAY, SAINT PETERSBURG FL 33716
Bella Loykhter Allaire officer: Executive Vice President-RJA 880 CARILLON PARKWAY, ST. PETERSBURG FL 33716
Coulter James Robert Edward officer: Director & CEO, RJ Ltd. 40 KING STREET W, SUITE 5400, TORONTO A6 M5H 3Y2
Jonathan N Santelli officer: EVP, Gen Counsel, Secy 880 CARILLON PARKWAY, SAINT PETERSBURG FL 33716
Scott A Curtis officer: President - RJFS 880 CARILLON PARKWAY, ST PETERSBURG FL 33716