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Reynolds Consumer Products (Reynolds Consumer Products) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $11.28 (As of Dec23)


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What is Reynolds Consumer Products Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Dec23, Reynolds Consumer Products's earnings power value is $11.28. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is -152.2

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Reynolds Consumer Products Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Reynolds Consumer Products's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Reynolds Consumer Products Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Reynolds Consumer Products Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial - - - 4.20 11.28

Reynolds Consumer Products Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.20 5.57 7.62 10.20 11.28

Competitive Comparison of Reynolds Consumer Products's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Packaging & Containers subindustry, Reynolds Consumer Products's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Reynolds Consumer Products's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Packaging & Containers Industry

For the Packaging & Containers industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Reynolds Consumer Products's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Reynolds Consumer Products's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Reynolds Consumer Products Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Reynolds Consumer Products's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 3,485
DDA 108
Operating Margin % 14.91
SGA * 25% 88
Tax Rate % 26.41
Maintenance Capex 88
Cash and Cash Equivalents 115
Short-Term Debt 16
Long-Term Debt 1,874
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 210

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 14.91%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $3,485 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 14.91%, Average Adjusted SGA = 88,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 3,485 * 14.91% +88 = $607.716256 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 26.41%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $607.716256 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 607.716256 * ( 1 - 26.41% ) = $447.23662427808 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 108 * 0.5 * 26.41% = $14.25978 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 447.23662427808 + 14.25978 = $461.49640427808 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Reynolds Consumer Products's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $88 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Reynolds Consumer Products's current cash and cash equivalent = $115 Mil.
Reynolds Consumer Products's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 1,874 + 16 = $1890 Mil.
Reynolds Consumer Products's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 210 Mil.

Reynolds Consumer Products's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Dec23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 461.49640427808 - 88)/ 9%+115-1890 )/210
=11.28

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 11.284518744872-28.46 )/11.284518744872
= -152.2%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Reynolds Consumer Products  (NAS:REYN) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Reynolds Consumer Products Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Reynolds Consumer Products's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Reynolds Consumer Products (Reynolds Consumer Products) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1900 W. Field Court, Lake Forest, IL, USA, 60045
Reynolds Consumer Products Inc is a provider of household products. The firm is engaged in the production and sales of cooking products, waste and storage products, and tableware. It operates through four reportable segments namely, Reynolds Cooking and Baking, Hefty Waste and Storage, Hefty Tableware, and Presto Products. Reynolds Cooking and Baking segment produce branded and store brand aluminum foil, disposable aluminum pans, parchment paper, freezer paper, wax paper, butcher paper, plastic wrap, baking cups, oven bags and slow cooker liners.
Executives
Christine Montenegro Mcgrath director C/O REYNOLDS CONSUMER PRODUCTS INC., 1900 W. FIELD COURT, LAKE FOREST IL 60045
Chris Mayrhofer officer: Vice President and Controller C/O REYNOLDS CONSUMER PRODUCTS, 1900 W. FIELD CT., LAKE FOREST IL 60045
Christopher Corey officer: President, Presto Products C/O REYNOLDS CONSUMER PRODUCTS, INC., 1900 W. FIELD COURT, LAKE FOREST IL 60045
Mark D. Swartzberg officer: VP Investor Relations C/O REYNOLDS CONSUMER PRODUCTS INC., 1900 W. FIELD COURT, LAKE FOREST IL 60045
Nathan D. Lowe officer: VP, Fin. Planning & Analysis C/O REYNOLDS CONSUMER PRODUCTS INC., 1900 W. FIELD COURT, LAKE FOREST IL 60045
V Lance Mitchell director, officer: President and CEO 1900 W. FIELD COURT, LAKE FOREST IL 60045
Michael E. Graham officer: Chief Financial Officer REYNOLDS CONSUMER PRODUCT, 1900 W. FIELD COURT, LAKE FOREST IL 60045
Stephen C. Estes officer: Chief Administrative Officer 1900 W. FIELD COURT, LAKE FOREST IL 60045
Clyde David Watson officer: Chief Legal Counsel/Corp Sec 1900 W. FIELD COURT, LAKE FOREST IL 60045
Valerie Elizabeth Miller officer: EVP-HR 1900 W. FIELD COURT, LAKE FOREST IL 60045
Michael F. Mcmahon officer: VP-Senior Sales Team 1900 W. FIELD COURT, LAKE FOREST IL 60045
Rita Fisher officer: Chief Information Officer/EVP 1900 W. FIELD COURT, LAKE FOREST IL 60045
Allen Hugli director C/O RANK GROUP, LEVEL II, 148 QUAY ST, AUCKLAND Q2 00000
Lisa M Smith officer: President, Hefty Waste&Storage 1900 W. FIELD COURT, C/O REYNOLDS CONSUMER PRODUCTS INC., LAKE FOREST IL 60045
Gregory Alan Cole director PO BOX 3515, AUCKLAND Q2 00000