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PVH (PVH) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $262.20 (As of Jan24)


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What is PVH Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Jan24, PVH's earnings power value is $262.20. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is 57.65

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


PVH Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for PVH's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

PVH Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

PVH Annual Data
Trend Jan15 Jan16 Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23 Jan24
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 175.24 222.97 265.48 244.73 262.20

PVH Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 244.73 241.82 242.90 250.97 262.20

Competitive Comparison of PVH's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Apparel Manufacturing subindustry, PVH's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


PVH's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories Industry

For the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, PVH's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where PVH's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



PVH Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

PVH's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 8,888
DDA 313
Operating Margin % 6.22
SGA * 25% 1,093
Tax Rate % -16.45
Maintenance Capex 224
Cash and Cash Equivalents 708
Short-Term Debt 866
Long-Term Debt 2,668
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 60

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 6.22%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $8,888 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 6.22%, Average Adjusted SGA = 1,093,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 8,888 * 6.22% +1,093 = $1646.266208 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = -16.45%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $1646.266208 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 1646.266208 * ( 1 - -16.45% ) = $1917.1099245402 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 313 * 0.5 * -16.45% = $-25.714476 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 1917.1099245402 + -25.714476 = $1891.3954485402 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
PVH's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $224 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. PVH's current cash and cash equivalent = $708 Mil.
PVH's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 2,668 + 866 = $3533.9 Mil.
PVH's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 60 Mil.

PVH's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Jan24 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 1891.3954485402 - 224)/ 9%+708-3533.9 )/60
=262.20

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 262.19893313674-111.03 )/262.19893313674
= 57.65%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


PVH  (NYSE:PVH) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


PVH Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of PVH's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


PVH (PVH) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
285 Madison Avenue, New York, NY, USA, 10017
PVH designs and markets branded apparel in more than 40 countries. Its key fashion categories include men's dress shirts, ties, sportswear, underwear, and jeans. Its two designer brands, Calvin Klein and Tommy Hilfiger, now generate all its revenue after its recent disposition of its smaller brands. PVH operates e-commerce sites and about 1,500 stores, licenses its brands to third parties, and distributes its merchandise through department stores and other wholesale accounts. The firm traces its history to 1881 and is based in New York City.
Executives
Mark D Fischer officer: EVP, General Counsel & Sec. C/O PHILLIPS-VAN HEUSEN CORPORATION, 200 MADISON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10016
Julie Fuller officer: Chief People Officer 200 MADISON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10016
Martijn Hagman officer: CEO, PVH Europe C/O PVH CORP., 200 MADISON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10016
Eva Serrano officer: Global Brand President, CK C/O PVH CORP, 285 MADISONAVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10017
James Holmes officer: EVP & Controller C/O PVH CORP., 200 MADISON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10016
Zachary Coughlin officer: EVP, Chief Financial Officer 285 MADISON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10017
Stefan Larsson director, officer: Chief Executive Officer TWO FOLSOM STREET, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
Ajay Bhalla director 2000 PURCHASE STREET, PURCHASE NY 10577
Sourry Knox Judith Amanda director C/O 200 MADISON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10016
Brent Callinicos director C/O 706 MISSION STREET, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94103
Edward R. Rosenfeld director C/O STEVEN MADDEN, LTD., 52-16 BARNETT AVENUE, LONG ISLAND CITY NY 11104
Vincent James Marino director C/O OFFICEMAX INCORPORATED, 263 SHUMAN BLVD., NAPERVILLE IL 60563
Joseph B Fuller director TWO CANAL PARK, CAMBRIDGE MA 02141
George Cheeks director 200 MADISON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10016
Allison Peterson director 7601 PENN AVENUE SOUTH, RICHFIELD MN 55423

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