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IPG Photonics (IPG Photonics) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $55.76 (As of Dec23)


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What is IPG Photonics Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Dec23, IPG Photonics's earnings power value is $55.76. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is -58.54

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


IPG Photonics Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for IPG Photonics's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

IPG Photonics Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

IPG Photonics Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 58.31 60.13 63.46 58.47 55.76

IPG Photonics Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 58.47 56.15 55.84 55.21 55.76

Competitive Comparison of IPG Photonics's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Semiconductor Equipment & Materials subindustry, IPG Photonics's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


IPG Photonics's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Semiconductors Industry

For the Semiconductors industry and Technology sector, IPG Photonics's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where IPG Photonics's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



IPG Photonics Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

IPG Photonics's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 1,339
DDA 89
Operating Margin % 19.65
SGA * 25% 49
Tax Rate % 31.34
Maintenance Capex 99
Cash and Cash Equivalents 1,177
Short-Term Debt 5
Long-Term Debt 14
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 47

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 19.65%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $1,339 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 19.65%, Average Adjusted SGA = 49,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 1,339 * 19.65% +49 = $312.453089092 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 31.34%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $312.453089092 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 312.453089092 * ( 1 - 31.34% ) = $214.51935511245 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 89 * 0.5 * 31.34% = $14.0211072595 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 214.51935511245 + 14.0211072595 = $228.54046237195 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
IPG Photonics's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $99 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. IPG Photonics's current cash and cash equivalent = $1,177 Mil.
IPG Photonics's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 14 + 5 = $18.261 Mil.
IPG Photonics's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 47 Mil.

IPG Photonics's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Dec23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 228.54046237195 - 99)/ 9%+1,177-18.261 )/47
=55.76

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 55.759261411065-88.40 )/55.759261411065
= -58.54%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


IPG Photonics  (NAS:IPGP) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


IPG Photonics Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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IPG Photonics (IPG Photonics) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
377 Simarano Drive, Marlborough, MA, USA, 01752
IPG Photonics Corp is a vertically integrated developer and manufacturer of high-performance fiber lasers, fiber amplifiers, and diode lasers, which are used in diverse applications in the manufacturing, automotive, industrial, aerospace, semiconductor, and consumer end markets. A large majority of the firm's revenue is derived from materials processing applications for fiber lasers, including cutting and welding, marking and engraving, and micro-processing. Roughly a third of the firm's revenue is generated in China, with the rest coming from North America, Europe, Japan, Australia, and other countries across the world.
Executives
Eric Meurice director % VERIGY LTD, 5301 STEVENS CREEK BLVD, SANTA CLARA CA 95051
Valentin Gapontsev Trust I 10 percent owner 50 OLD WEBSTER ROAD, OXFORD MA 01540
Tang Agnes director C/O IPG PHOTONICS CORPORATION, 50 OLD WEBSTER ROAD, OXFORD MA 01540
Kolleen T Kennedy director VARIAN MEDICAL SYSTEMS INC, 3100 HANSEN WAY MAIL STOP E327, PALO ALTO CA 94304
Alexander Ovtchinnikov officer: Vice President IPG PHOTONICS CORPORATION, 50 OLD WEBSTER ROAD, OXFORD MA 01540
Jeanmarie F. Desmond director C/O E.I. DU PONT DE NEMOURS AND COMPANY, 974 CENTRE ROAD, BLDG. 730, WILMINGTON DE 19805
Eugene A Shcherbakov director, officer: Managing Director of IPG Laser IPG PHOTONICS CORPORATION, 50 OLD WEBSTER ROAD, OXFORD MA 01540
Gregory R Beecher director C/OTERADYNE INC, 600 RIVERPARK DRIVE, NORTH READING MA 01864
Timothy Pv Mammen officer: Vice President & CFO IPG PHOTONICS CORPORATION, 50 OLD WEBSTER ROAD, OXFORD MA 01540
Ip Fibre Devices Ltd 10 percent owner 660 MAIN STREET, STURBRIDGE MA 01566
Trevor Ness officer: VP World-Wide Sales and Mktg. C/O 50 OLD WEBSTER ROAD, OXFORD MA 01540
Igor Samartsev director, officer: Acting GM of NTO IRE-Polus IPG PHOTONICS CORPORATION, 50 OLD WEBSTER ROAD, OXFORD MA 01540
Angelo P Lopresti officer: VP, Secretary & Gen Counsel IPG PHOTONICS CORPORATION, 50 OLD WEBSTER ROAD, OXFORD MA 01540
Felix I Stukalin officer: SVP, North America Operations
Natalia Pavlova director 3 ORCHARD HILL ROAD, WESTBOROUGH MA 01581