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Boyd Gaming (Boyd Gaming) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $13.24 (As of Dec23)


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What is Boyd Gaming Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Dec23, Boyd Gaming's earnings power value is $13.24. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is -301.76

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Boyd Gaming Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Boyd Gaming's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Boyd Gaming Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Boyd Gaming Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -23.96 -30.41 -4.20 2.15 13.24

Boyd Gaming Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.15 4.80 7.15 9.43 13.24

Competitive Comparison of Boyd Gaming's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Resorts & Casinos subindustry, Boyd Gaming's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Boyd Gaming's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Boyd Gaming's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Boyd Gaming's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Boyd Gaming Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Boyd Gaming's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 3,234
DDA 268
Operating Margin % 19.42
SGA * 25% 123
Tax Rate % 21.85
Maintenance Capex 190
Cash and Cash Equivalents 304
Short-Term Debt 143
Long-Term Debt 3,583
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 99

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 19.42%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $3,234 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 19.42%, Average Adjusted SGA = 123,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 3,234 * 19.42% +123 = $751.005879072 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 21.85%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $751.005879072 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 751.005879072 * ( 1 - 21.85% ) = $586.8885643184 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 268 * 0.5 * 21.85% = $29.290581138 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 586.8885643184 + 29.290581138 = $616.1791454564 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Boyd Gaming's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $190 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Boyd Gaming's current cash and cash equivalent = $304 Mil.
Boyd Gaming's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 3,583 + 143 = $3725.752 Mil.
Boyd Gaming's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 99 Mil.

Boyd Gaming's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Dec23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 616.1791454564 - 190)/ 9%+304-3725.752 )/99
=13.24

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 13.236751479583-53.18 )/13.236751479583
= -301.76%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Boyd Gaming  (NYSE:BYD) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Boyd Gaming Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Boyd Gaming's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Boyd Gaming (Boyd Gaming) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
6465 South Rainbow Boulevard, Las Vegas, NV, USA, 89118
Boyd Gaming Corp is a multi-jurisdictional gaming company. The company operates wholly owned gaming entertainment properties (casino space, slot machines, table games, and hotel rooms) in Nevada, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, Ohio, and Pennsylvania. Its business segments are separated by geographical regions: Las Vegas Locals; Downtown Las Vegas; and Midwest and South. Midwest and South holds the largest number of entertainment properties, and it generates most sales for the company. Boyd generates most of its revenue from its gaming operations.
Executives
William S Boyd director, 10 percent owner, officer: Co-Executive Chair 2950 SOUTH INDUSTRIAL ROAD, LAS VEGAS NV 89109
William R Boyd director, officer: Vice President C/O BOYD GAMING CORPORATION, 6465 S. RAINBOW BOULEVARD, LAS VEGAS NV 89118
Marianne Boyd Johnson director, officer: Executive Vice President
Stephen S. Thompson officer: Executive Vice President 3883 HOWARD HUGHES PARKWAY, NINTH FLOOR, LAS VEGAS NV 89169
Christine J. Spadafor director 3883 HOWARD HUGHES PARKWAY, NINTH FLOOR, LAS VEGAS NV 89169
Keith Smith director, officer: President & CEO
Ted Bogich officer: Executive Vice President 3883 HOWARD HUGHES PARKWAY, NINTH FLOOR, LAS VEGAS NV 89169
Josh Hirsberg officer: Exec. V.P., Treasurer & CFO C/O BOYD GAMING CORPORATION, 3883 HOWARD HUGHES PARKWAY, NINTH FLOOR, LAS VEGAS NV 89169
Lori M. Nelson officer: SVP Fin Ops and Reporting 6465 S. RAINBOW BOULEVARD, LAS VEGAS NV 89118
Veronica J Wilson director C/O BOYD GAMING, 2950 INDUSTRIAL RD, LAS VEGAS NV 89109
Uri Clinton officer: EVP,General Counsel,Secretary C/O MULTIMEDIA GAMES, INC., 206 WILD BASIN ROAD, BLDG. B, SUITE 400, AUSTIN TX 78746
Anthony D Mcduffie officer: VP & Chief Accounting Officer C/O BOYD GAMING CORPORATION, 6465 SOUTH RAINBOW BLVD, LAS VEGAS NV 89118
A. Randall Thoman director 8360 S. DURANGO DR., LAS VEGAS NV 89113
John Robert Bailey director 1106 PALMS AIRPORT DRIVE, LAS VEGAS NV 89119
Paul W Whetsell director 4501 NORTH FAIRFAX DRIVE, SUITE 800, ARLINGTON VA 22203