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Bank of New York Mellon (Bank of New York Mellon) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $119.17 (As of Mar24)


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What is Bank of New York Mellon Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Mar24, Bank of New York Mellon's earnings power value is $119.17. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is 51.9

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Bank of New York Mellon Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Bank of New York Mellon's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Bank of New York Mellon Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Bank of New York Mellon Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 176.94 261.85 226.17 185.73 163.54

Bank of New York Mellon Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 165.99 165.83 156.52 163.54 -

Competitive Comparison of Bank of New York Mellon's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Asset Management subindustry, Bank of New York Mellon's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Bank of New York Mellon's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Asset Management Industry

For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, Bank of New York Mellon's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Bank of New York Mellon's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Bank of New York Mellon Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Bank of New York Mellon's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 16,221
DDA 1,581
Operating Margin % 0.00
SGA * 25% 1,630
Tax Rate % 20.11
Maintenance Capex 1,203
Cash and Cash Equivalents 135,138
Short-Term Debt 0
Long-Term Debt 32,702
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 762

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 0.00%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $16,221 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 0.00%, Average Adjusted SGA = 1,630,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 16,221 * 0.00% +1,630 = $ Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 20.11%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $ Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = * ( 1 - 20.11% ) = $0 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 1,581 * 0.5 * 20.11% = $158.95013 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 0 + 158.95013 = $158.95013 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Bank of New York Mellon's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $1,203 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Bank of New York Mellon's current cash and cash equivalent = $135,138 Mil.
Bank of New York Mellon's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 32,702 + 0 = $32702 Mil.
Bank of New York Mellon's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 762 Mil.

Bank of New York Mellon's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Mar24 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 158.95013 - 1,203)/ 9%+135,138-32702 )/762
=119.17

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 119.16525610998-57.32 )/119.16525610998
= 51.9%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Bank of New York Mellon  (NYSE:BK) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Bank of New York Mellon Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Bank of New York Mellon's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Bank of New York Mellon (Bank of New York Mellon) Business Description

Address
240 Greenwich Street, New York, NY, USA, 10286
BNY Mellon is a global investment company involved in managing and servicing financial assets throughout the investment lifecycle. The bank provides financial services for institutions, corporations, and individual investors and delivers investment management and investment services in 35 countries and more than 100 markets. BNY Mellon is the largest global custody bank in the world, with about $44.3 trillion in under custody and administration (as of Dec. 31, 2022), and can act as a single point of contact for clients looking to create, trade, hold, manage, service, distribute, or restructure investments. BNY Mellon's asset-management division manages about $1.8 trillion in assets.
Executives
Catherine Keating officer: Sr. Exec. Vice President 75 STATE ST, BOSTON MA 02109
Hanneke Smits officer: Sr. Exec. Vice President 160 QUEEN VICTORIA STREET, THE BANK OF NEW YORK MELLON CENTRE, LONDON X0 EC4V 4LA
Jayee Koffey officer: Sr. Exec. Vice President 240 GREENWICH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10286
Kurtis R. Kurimsky officer: Acting Controller 225 LIBERTY STREET, NEW YORK NY 10286
J Kevin Mccarthy director, officer: SEVP & General Counsel THE BANK OF NEW YORK MELLON CORPORATION, 225 LIBERTY STREET, NEW YORK NY 10286
Dermot Mcdonogh officer: Sr. Executive Vice President 240 GREENWICH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10286
Thomas P Gibbons officer: Sr. Executive Vice President THE BANK OF NEW YORK MELLON CORPORATION, 225 LIBERTY STREET, NEW YORK NY 10286
Sandie O'connor director C/O TEREX CORPORATION, 200 NYALA FARM ROAD, WESTPORT CT 06880
La Salla Francis J. officer: Sr. Executive Vice President 101 BARCLAY STREET, NEW YORK NY 10286
Jeffrey D Landau officer: Sr. Exec Vice President 200 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10166
Marguerite Amy Gilliland director 2941 FAIRVIEW PARK DRIVE, FALLS CHURCH VA 22042
Kumara Guru Gowrappan director 1095 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10036
Robin A. Vince officer: Vice Chair 240 GREENWICH STREET, `, NEW YORK NY 10286
Ralph Izzo director PSEG 80 PARK PLAZA, T6B NEWARK NJ 07102-4194
Mitchell E. Harris officer: Sr. Executive Vice President 225 LIBERTY STREET, NEW YORK NY 10286