Should you Bet on InvenSense's Turnaround?

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Jan 26, 2015

The recent months have been harsh for InvenSense (INVN, Financial) investors as the stock has lost about 40% of its worth. InvenSense's dive started after its second-quarter earnings report in October came in well beneath estimates. The greatest offender was its gross margin, which tumbled to 37%, underneath the organization's conjecture of around. Last quarter, the organization saw a huge drop in gross net revenues as a consequence of an unexpected inventory write down, which shook investor confidence

InvenSense additionally reported margin pressure as a consequence of high dependency on Apple and Samsung, which stoked the reasons for risks normally connected with this issue – sustained margin pressure and the possibly enormous monetary effect of losing a significant client.

Starting now, the greatest revenue generator going ahead is presumably Apple. Regardless of the margin pressure that the iPhone maker is putting on InvenSense, Apple displays a colossal opportunity going forward.

In the quarter when Apple released the new iPhone models, InvenSense raked in about $23.5 million in sales to Apple. It's not clear what number of units that includes, however it appears like the MEMS producer is accepting essentially short of what the normal $1 per 6-axis chip. It was normal that Apple would get better-than-normal valuing because of its high volume of requests, yet the picture isn't sure about the extent to which Apple pays per unit.

Still, the iPhone 6 and iPhone 6 Plus are selling amazingly well, and the up and coming Apple Watch now has a much stronger potential to incorporate InvenSense chips. The Apple Watch could goad sales of wearables all together, and InvenSense is nicely placed to benefit from that pattern with design wins in probably the most prominent wearable gadgets as of now.

Another growth driver

InvenSense's acquisition of two mobile indoor area technology new companies - Trusted Positioning and Movea - ought to improve its performance going ahead. Utilizing location based services (LBS), retailers can offer markdown coupons focused around area inside the shopping centers. This can likewise be utilized by big business scale clients to track and oversee resources indoor.

As per ABI Research, the LBS market is anticipated to hit the $4 billion mark by 2018 and smartphones equipped for supporting LBS will run in the many millions inside two years. With Apple, Google (GOOG, Financial) (GOOGL, Financial), eBay (EBAY) and others making clear moves to tap the LBS market, this is an enormous open door for InvenSense.

Additionally, Movea's software framework has been embraced by OEMs and authorized by top sensor hub suppliers. There's expanding OEM enthusiasm for empowering a more consistent sensor experience by hard coupling Movea's embedded software and sensor algorithms with coordinated sensors and digital movement processors of InvenSense.

Conclusion

In spite of the difficulties it is confronting, InvenSense has not decreased its full-year guidance is still sure of attaining to 35% of revenue development in fiscal 2015. Heading into the third quarter, it expects the pricing pressure from its biggest clients to proceed, yet it expects the gross margins in the range of 46% to 47%. Heading into fiscal 2016, with client diversification and new items, InvenSense looks like a good buy.