What's Driving PagSeguro Digital Ltd's Surprising 17% Stock Rally?

PagSeguro Digital Ltd (PAGS, Financial) has experienced a notable fluctuation in its stock price over recent periods. With a current market capitalization of $4.68 billion, the stock price stands at $14.65. Over the past week, PAGS has seen a slight decline of 1.07%. However, looking at a broader timeframe, the stock has gained an impressive 16.58% over the past three months. This performance is particularly interesting when considering the company's valuation metrics. The GF Value is currently at $20.09, suggesting that the stock is modestly undervalued. This is a shift from the past GF Value of $30.54, which indicated a possible value trap, advising investors to think twice. The change in valuation reflects a dynamic market perception of PagSeguro Digital Ltd's potential.

Introduction to PagSeguro Digital Ltd

PagSeguro Digital Ltd, operating within the software industry, is a Brazilian-based financial technology company. It provides a comprehensive suite of financial solutions aimed at Micro-Merchants, Small Companies, and Medium-Sized Companies (SMEs) in Brazil. The company's offerings include cash-in and cash-out options, access to working capital, and a digital ecosystem to manage financial transactions. PagSeguro Digital also provides a Free PagSeguro Digital Account, which encompasses Cash-In Solutions, Online and In-Person Payment Tools, and other services designed to facilitate business operations for its clients. 1772627332448808960.png

Assessing PagSeguro Digital's Profitability

PagSeguro Digital's Profitability Rank stands at 6/10, indicating a moderate level of profitability. The company's Operating Margin is currently at -14.06%, which, while negative, is better than 27.53% of its peers in the industry. The ROE (Return on Equity) is a robust 13.34%, outperforming 72.69% of companies in the same sector. Similarly, the ROA (Return on Assets) at 3.57% is better than 61.42% of competitors. However, the ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) is -4.41%, which is still better than 36.85% of the industry. Notably, PagSeguro Digital has maintained profitability for the past 10 years, a testament to its consistent performance. 1772627352711491584.png

Growth Trajectory of PagSeguro Digital

The company's Growth Rank is 7/10, reflecting a strong growth profile. PagSeguro Digital has achieved a 3-Year Revenue Growth Rate per Share of 28.90%, surpassing 84.14% of its industry counterparts. The 5-Year Revenue Growth Rate per Share is also impressive at 22.90%, outperforming 84.77% of similar companies. When it comes to earnings, the 3-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate is 7.20%, which is better than 45.34% of the industry. However, the 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate is lower at 1.20%, still better than 28.21% of the sector. These figures highlight PagSeguro Digital's ability to expand its revenue and manage earnings growth effectively over time. 1772627378309328896.png

Investor Confidence in PagSeguro Digital

Prominent investors have taken positions in PagSeguro Digital, indicating confidence in the company's prospects. Steven Cohen (Trades, Portfolio) is the leading shareholder with 10,924,410 shares, representing a 3.42% stake in the company. Another notable holder is Barrow, Hanley, Mewhinney & Strauss, although their share count is minimal at 284 shares, reflecting a negligible percentage of ownership. These investments by seasoned investors can be seen as a vote of confidence in PagSeguro Digital's business model and future outlook.

Competitive Landscape

PagSeguro Digital operates in a competitive environment with several key players. ACI Worldwide Inc (ACIW, Financial) has a market capitalization of $3.44 billion, Evertec Inc (EVTC, Financial) is valued at $2.49 billion, and Payoneer Global Inc (PAYO, Financial) stands at $1.73 billion. These companies, with market caps close to PagSeguro Digital's, are significant competitors within the financial technology space. The competitive dynamics among these players are crucial in shaping the strategies and growth potential of PagSeguro Digital.

Conclusion

In summary, PagSeguro Digital Ltd has demonstrated a strong stock performance with a significant gain over the past three months, despite a recent minor setback. The company's profitability metrics, while mixed, show resilience, and its growth rates in revenue and earnings per share are commendable. With the backing of notable investors and a competitive position in the market, PagSeguro Digital appears to be a compelling investment opportunity, especially considering its current valuation as modestly undervalued relative to the GF Value. As investors continue to monitor the company's financial health and market position, PagSeguro Digital's journey in the fintech industry is one to watch closely.

This article, generated by GuruFocus, is designed to provide general insights and is not tailored financial advice. Our commentary is rooted in historical data and analyst projections, utilizing an impartial methodology, and is not intended to serve as specific investment guidance. It does not formulate a recommendation to purchase or divest any stock and does not consider individual investment objectives or financial circumstances. Our objective is to deliver long-term, fundamental data-driven analysis. Be aware that our analysis might not incorporate the most recent, price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative information. GuruFocus holds no position in the stocks mentioned herein.

Disclosures

I/We may personally own shares in some of the companies mentioned above. However, those positions are not material to either the company or to my/our portfolios.