Applied Materials (AMAT)'s Market Value: A Critical Evaluation of Its Overvaluation

Understanding Applied Materials' Position in the Semiconductor Industry

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Applied Materials Inc (AMAT, Financial) has recently shown a notable daily gain of 3.62%, and an impressive three-month gain of 30.95%. With an Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $8.5, investors are keen to understand if the current stock valuation truly reflects the company's worth. The central question that arises is whether Applied Materials is significantly overvalued in the market. The following analysis aims to shed light on this pressing investor query.

Company Overview

Applied Materials Inc (AMAT, Financial) is a titan in the semiconductor industry, holding the title of the world's largest manufacturer of semiconductor wafer fabrication equipment. The company boasts a diverse portfolio that covers a vast array of the wafer fabrication ecosystem, particularly excelling in deposition technology. With a prestigious clientele that includes industry giants like TSMC, Intel, and Samsung, Applied Materials' market share leadership in this sector is evident. A glance at the company's stock price juxtaposed with the GF Value suggests a significant overvaluation, prompting a deeper dive into its intrinsic value.

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GF Value Explained

The GF Value is a unique measure of a stock's intrinsic value, taking into account historical trading multiples, a GuruFocus adjustment factor based on past performance and growth, and future business performance estimates. It serves as a benchmark for the fair value at which a stock should be traded. If a stock's price significantly exceeds the GF Value Line, it is considered overvalued, and its future return may be unsatisfactory. Conversely, if the price is well below the GF Value Line, the stock may offer a higher future return. Applied Materials (AMAT, Financial), with its current price of $212.48 per share and a market cap of $176.50 billion, is deemed significantly overvalued by the GuruFocus Value calculation.

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Financial Strength Assessment

Investing in companies with robust financial strength is crucial to mitigate the risk of capital loss. A thorough examination of Applied Materials' financial metrics, such as the cash-to-debt ratio and interest coverage, is essential. Though Applied Materials' cash-to-debt ratio of 1.25 is below the industry median, its overall financial strength is strong, with a GuruFocus rating of 8 out of 10.

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Profitability and Growth Prospects

Profitable companies, particularly those with a history of consistent earnings, tend to be safer investments. Applied Materials has maintained profitability for the past decade, with a remarkable operating margin of 28.89%, placing it ahead of the majority of its peers. The company's profitability score is a perfect 10 out of 10 from GuruFocus. In terms of growth, Applied Materials' average annual revenue growth rate stands at 19%, showing a strong potential for future value creation.

ROIC vs. WACC: A Key Indicator of Value Creation

Comparing a company's Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) to its Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is an effective way to gauge value creation. Applied Materials' ROIC of 32.94 is more than double its WACC of 14.01, indicating that the company is generating significant value for its shareholders.

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Final Analysis

In summary, despite Applied Materials' strong financial condition, exceptional profitability, and solid growth ranking, the stock appears to be significantly overvalued. Investors interested in a more detailed financial overview of Applied Materials can explore its 30-Year Financials here.

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This article, generated by GuruFocus, is designed to provide general insights and is not tailored financial advice. Our commentary is rooted in historical data and analyst projections, utilizing an impartial methodology, and is not intended to serve as specific investment guidance. It does not formulate a recommendation to purchase or divest any stock and does not consider individual investment objectives or financial circumstances. Our objective is to deliver long-term, fundamental data-driven analysis. Be aware that our analysis might not incorporate the most recent, price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative information. GuruFocus holds no position in the stocks mentioned herein.

Disclosures

I/We may personally own shares in some of the companies mentioned above. However, those positions are not material to either the company or to my/our portfolios.