What's Driving Topgolf Callaway Brands Corp's Surprising 15% Stock Rally?

Topgolf Callaway Brands Corp (MODG, Financial) has recently experienced a notable surge in its stock price, capturing the attention of investors and market analysts alike. Over the past week, the company's stock price has seen a significant 15.32% gain, while the past three months have witnessed a 14.91% increase. This performance is particularly interesting when juxtaposed with the company's GF Value of $25.67, which suggests a potential undervaluation of the stock. Despite this, both the current and past GF Valuation indicate a "Possible Value Trap, Think Twice" status, urging investors to exercise caution.

Company Overview

Topgolf Callaway Brands Corp, operating within the Travel & Leisure industry, is a diversified company that offers a blend of entertainment and sports through its various segments. The company is renowned for its immersive golf entertainment experiences, high-quality golf equipment, and a range of active lifestyle apparel and accessories. With a strong presence in the United States, Topgolf Callaway's primary revenue streams come from its Topgolf venues, Toptracer technology, and digital golf games. The company's market capitalization stands at $2.96 billion, with a current stock price of $16.12.

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Assessing Profitability

Topgolf Callaway's Profitability Rank is a robust 7/10, indicating a strong position relative to its peers. The company's Operating Margin of 5.55% is better than 42.98% of 819 companies in the industry. Additionally, its ROE at 2.46%, ROA at 1.07%, and ROIC at 7.94% further demonstrate its ability to generate profits relative to its equity, assets, and invested capital. These figures are commendable, especially considering the company has maintained profitability for 9 out of the past 10 years.

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Growth Trajectory

The company's Growth Rank stands at 7/10, reflecting a strong growth trajectory. Topgolf Callaway has achieved a 3-Year Revenue Growth Rate per Share of 8.10% and an even higher 5-Year Revenue Growth Rate per Share of 8.80%. These rates are impressive, surpassing the majority of its industry counterparts. However, the company's 3-Year and 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rates are -9.90% and -12.50%, respectively, indicating challenges in earnings growth. Despite this, the estimated Total Revenue Growth Rate for the next 3 to 5 years is projected at 6.49%, suggesting optimism for future performance.

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Investor Confidence

Notable investors have taken positions in Topgolf Callaway, signaling confidence in the company's prospects. Ken Fisher (Trades, Portfolio) holds 2,577,768 shares, representing a 1.4% share percentage. Paul Tudor Jones (Trades, Portfolio) and Joel Greenblatt (Trades, Portfolio) also have stakes in the company, with 454,819 shares (0.25%) and 40,516 shares (0.02%), respectively. These investments by prominent market players underscore a level of endorsement for the company's strategy and potential.

Competitive Landscape

When compared to its competitors, Topgolf Callaway holds its own in the market. Life Time Group Holdings Inc (LTH, Financial) has a market cap of $2.77 billion, United Parks & Resorts Inc (PRKS, Financial) at $3.44 billion, and YETI Holdings Inc (YETI, Financial) at $3.2 billion. These companies, operating within the same industry and market cap range, provide a context for evaluating Topgolf Callaway's performance and market position.

Conclusion

In conclusion, Topgolf Callaway Brands Corp's recent stock price rally can be attributed to its solid profitability metrics, growth prospects, and the confidence shown by significant holders. While the GF Valuation suggests caution, the company's market position and potential for future revenue growth present a compelling case for investors. As always, it is essential for investors to conduct thorough due diligence and consider the broader market dynamics before making investment decisions.

This article, generated by GuruFocus, is designed to provide general insights and is not tailored financial advice. Our commentary is rooted in historical data and analyst projections, utilizing an impartial methodology, and is not intended to serve as specific investment guidance. It does not formulate a recommendation to purchase or divest any stock and does not consider individual investment objectives or financial circumstances. Our objective is to deliver long-term, fundamental data-driven analysis. Be aware that our analysis might not incorporate the most recent, price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative information. GuruFocus holds no position in the stocks mentioned herein.

Disclosures

I/We may personally own shares in some of the companies mentioned above. However, those positions are not material to either the company or to my/our portfolios.