What's Driving ADT Inc's Surprising 13% Stock Rally?

ADT Inc (ADT, Financial), a prominent player in the business services industry, has experienced a notable fluctuation in its stock price recently. With a current market capitalization of $6.56 billion, the stock is trading at $7.12. Over the past week, ADT's shares have seen a decline of 3.12%, yet this short-term loss is overshadowed by a significant gain of 13.39% over the past three months. According to GF Value, the stock is currently fairly valued at $6.66, a slight adjustment from its past GF Value of $8.1. This shift in valuation suggests that ADT has moved from being a possible value trap to a more stable investment prospect.

Introduction to ADT Inc

ADT Inc is a leading provider of security and automation solutions in North America, offering a wide range of services including monitored security, interactive home and business automation, and related monitoring services. The company operates through segments such as Consumer and Small Business (CSB), Commercial, and Solar, with the Commercial segment being the most lucrative. ADT's comprehensive solutions cater to residential, commercial, and multi-site customers, providing burglary, video, access control, fire and smoke alarm, and medical alert systems. 1762919829100195840.png

Assessing ADT's Profitability

ADT's Profitability Rank stands at 4/10, reflecting moderate performance within its sector. The company's Operating Margin is impressive at 15.76%, surpassing 80.13% of 1072 companies in the industry. However, its Return on Equity (ROE) is a modest 1.15%, and Return on Assets (ROA) is at 0.22%, indicating that while ADT is efficient in its operations, it has room for improvement in utilizing its equity and assets. The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) at 13.55% is a strong point, better than 75.96% of its peers. Despite these figures, ADT has only managed to achieve profitability in 2 of the past 10 years, which is a concern for potential investors. 1762919849748754432.png

Growth Trajectory of ADT Inc

The Growth Rank for ADT is also positioned at 4/10. The company's 3-Year Revenue Growth Rate per Share has decreased by 1.30%, yet it has managed a 5-Year Revenue Growth Rate per Share increase of 2.40%. Looking ahead, the Total Revenue Growth Rate (Future 3Y To 5Y Est) is projected at -5.32%, which is a point of concern for long-term growth prospects. This forecast suggests that ADT may face challenges in expanding its revenue streams in the coming years. 1762919869457788928.png

Investor Confidence in ADT

Notable investors have maintained positions in ADT, indicating a level of confidence in the company's future. John Rogers (Trades, Portfolio) holds a significant stake with 22,447,847 shares, representing 2.44% of the company's shares. Leon Cooperman (Trades, Portfolio) follows with 3,100,000 shares, and Joel Greenblatt (Trades, Portfolio) holds 379,329 shares. These investments by experienced investors may signal a belief in the company's potential for value creation.

Competitive Landscape

When compared to its competitors, ADT holds a competitive market position. MSA Safety Inc (MSA, Financial) has a slightly higher market cap of $7.18 billion, while The Brink's Co (BCO, Financial) and Brady Corp (BRC, Financial) have market caps of $3.63 billion and $2.77 billion, respectively. ADT's market cap situates it comfortably within its competitive set, suggesting that it is a significant player within the business services industry.

Conclusion

In summary, ADT Inc's stock has demonstrated resilience with a 13.39% gain over the past three months, despite a recent weekly loss. The company is currently fairly valued according to GF Value, and while its profitability metrics are mixed, they show potential in certain areas. Growth prospects appear challenging in the long term, but significant shareholders maintain their investments, possibly seeing long-term value. Compared to its competitors, ADT maintains a strong market presence. Investors should continue to monitor ADT's performance, particularly in terms of profitability and growth, to make informed decisions about their investment strategies.

This article, generated by GuruFocus, is designed to provide general insights and is not tailored financial advice. Our commentary is rooted in historical data and analyst projections, utilizing an impartial methodology, and is not intended to serve as specific investment guidance. It does not formulate a recommendation to purchase or divest any stock and does not consider individual investment objectives or financial circumstances. Our objective is to deliver long-term, fundamental data-driven analysis. Be aware that our analysis might not incorporate the most recent, price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative information. GuruFocus holds no position in the stocks mentioned herein.

Disclosures

I/We may personally own shares in some of the companies mentioned above. However, those positions are not material to either the company or to my/our portfolios.