Is Altice USA (ATUS) Too Good to Be True? A Comprehensive Analysis of a Potential Value Trap

Unraveling the Intricacies of Altice USA's Financial Health and Valuation

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Value-focused investors are always on the hunt for stocks that are priced below their intrinsic value. One such stock that merits attention is Altice USA Inc (ATUS, Financial). The stock, which is currently priced at $3.15, recorded a loss of 5.41% in a day and a 3-month increase of 27.15%. The stock's fair valuation is $12.44, as indicated by its GF Value.

The GF Value: A Brief Overview

The GF Value represents the current intrinsic value of a stock derived from our exclusive method. This value is calculated based on three factors: historical multiples that the stock has traded at, an adjustment factor based on the company's past returns and growth, and future estimates of the business performance. The GF Value Line on our summary page gives an overview of the fair value that the stock should be traded at. If the stock price is significantly above the GF Value Line, it is overvalued and its future return is likely to be poor. On the other hand, if it is significantly below the GF Value Line, its future return will likely be higher.

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The Potential Value Trap: An In-depth Analysis

Despite its seemingly attractive valuation, certain risk factors associated with Altice USA should not be ignored. These risks are primarily reflected through its low Altman Z-score of 0.4. This indicator suggests that Altice USA, despite its apparent undervaluation, might be a potential value trap. This complexity underlines the importance of thorough due diligence in investment decision-making.

Understanding the Altman Z-Score

Invented by New York University Professor Edward I. Altman in 1968, the Altman Z-Score is a financial model that predicts the probability of a company entering bankruptcy within a two-year time frame. The Altman Z-Score combines five different financial ratios, each weighted to create a final score. A score below 1.8 suggests a high likelihood of financial distress, while a score above 3 indicates a low risk.

Company Overview: Altice USA

Altice USA Inc (ATUS, Financial) was spun off from Altice Europe in 2018. The company provides television, internet access, and phone services to roughly 9 million U.S. homes and businesses located primarily in smaller markets. Major clusters are in Texas, West Virginia, Idaho, Arizona, Louisiana, and the New York City metro area. Altice USA also owns News 12 Networks, i24News, and Cheddar.

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Altice USA's Low Altman Z-Score: A Breakdown of Key Drivers

A dissection of Altice USA's Altman Z-score reveals Altice USA's financial health may be weak, suggesting possible financial distress. This low score, combined with the company's apparent undervaluation, makes Altice USA a potential value trap. Investors should tread carefully and conduct thorough research before making an investment decision.

Conclusion

While Altice USA appears to be undervalued, its low Altman Z-Score suggests potential financial distress. This combination of factors indicates that Altice USA could be a value trap. Investors should exercise caution and conduct extensive due diligence before investing.

GuruFocus Premium members can find stocks with high Altman Z-Score using the following Screener: Walter Schloss Screen .

Disclosures

I/We may personally own shares in some of the companies mentioned above. However, those positions are not material to either the company or to my/our portfolios.