The stock of IT Tech Packaging (AMEX:ITP, 30-year Financials) gives every indication of being fairly valued, according to GuruFocus Value calculation. GuruFocus Value is GuruFocus' estimate of the fair value at which the stock should be traded. It is calculated based on the historical multiples that the stock has traded at, the past business growth and analyst estimates of future business performance. If the price of a stock is significantly above the GF Value Line, it is overvalued and its future return is likely to be poor. On the other hand, if it is significantly below the GF Value Line, its future return will likely be higher. At its current price of $0.665 per share and the market cap of $75.6 million, IT Tech Packaging stock is estimated to be fairly valued. GF Value for IT Tech Packaging is shown in the chart below.
Because IT Tech Packaging is fairly valued, the long-term return of its stock is likely to be close to the rate of its business growth.
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Companies with poor financial strength offer investors a high risk of permanent capital loss. To avoid permanent capital loss, an investor must do their research and review a company's financial strength before deciding to purchase shares. Both the cash-to-debt ratio and interest coverage of a company are a great way to to understand its financial strength. IT Tech Packaging has a cash-to-debt ratio of 0.25, which which ranks in the middle range of the companies in Forest Products industry. The overall financial strength of IT Tech Packaging is 6 out of 10, which indicates that the financial strength of IT Tech Packaging is fair. This is the debt and cash of IT Tech Packaging over the past years:
It is less risky to invest in profitable companies, especially those with consistent profitability over long term. A company with high profit margins is usually a safer investment than those with low profit margins. IT Tech Packaging has been profitable 8 over the past 10 years. Over the past twelve months, the company had a revenue of $100.9 million and loss of $0.23 a share. Its operating margin is -5.19%, which ranks worse than 84% of the companies in Forest Products industry. Overall, the profitability of IT Tech Packaging is ranked 6 out of 10, which indicates fair profitability. This is the revenue and net income of IT Tech Packaging over the past years:
Growth is probably the most important factor in the valuation of a company. GuruFocus research has found that growth is closely correlated with the long term performance of a company's stock. The faster a company is growing, the more likely it is to be creating value for shareholders, especially if the growth is profitable. The 3-year average annual revenue growth rate of IT Tech Packaging is -11.3%, which ranks worse than 84% of the companies in Forest Products industry. The 3-year average EBITDA growth rate is -24.8%, which ranks worse than 87% of the companies in Forest Products industry.
Another method of determining the profitability of a company is to compare its return on invested capital to the weighted average cost of capital. Return on invested capital (ROIC) measures how well a company generates cash flow relative to the capital it has invested in its business. The weighted average cost of capital (WACC) is the rate that a company is expected to pay on average to all its security holders to finance its assets. When the ROIC is higher than the WACC, it implies the company is creating value for shareholders. For the past 12 months, IT Tech Packaging's return on invested capital is -2.46, and its cost of capital is 2.67. The historical ROIC vs WACC comparison of IT Tech Packaging is shown below:
To conclude, The stock of IT Tech Packaging (AMEX:ITP, 30-year Financials) is estimated to be fairly valued. The company's financial condition is fair and its profitability is fair. Its growth ranks worse than 87% of the companies in Forest Products industry. To learn more about IT Tech Packaging stock, you can check out its 30-year Financials here.
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