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Virgin Orbit Holdings (Virgin Orbit Holdings) Altman Z2-Score : -18.03 (As of Jun. 09, 2024)


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What is Virgin Orbit Holdings Altman Z2-Score?

Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.

Warning Sign:

Virgin Orbit Holdings has a Altman Z2-Score of -18.03, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Virgin Orbit Holdings's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:


Virgin Orbit Holdings Altman Z2-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Virgin Orbit Holdings's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Virgin Orbit Holdings Altman Z2-Score Chart

Virgin Orbit Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22
Altman Z2-Score
- - -5.59 -18.03

Virgin Orbit Holdings Quarterly Data
Dec19 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22
Altman Z2-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -5.59 -10.55 -10.06 -15.03 -18.03

Competitive Comparison of Virgin Orbit Holdings's Altman Z2-Score

For the Aerospace & Defense subindustry, Virgin Orbit Holdings's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Virgin Orbit Holdings's Altman Z2-Score Distribution in the Aerospace & Defense Industry

For the Aerospace & Defense industry and Industrials sector, Virgin Orbit Holdings's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Virgin Orbit Holdings's Altman Z2-Score falls into.



Virgin Orbit Holdings Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

Virgin Orbit Holdings's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=6.56*X1+3.26*X2+6.72*X3+1.05*X4_2
=6.56*0.107+3.26*-4.201+6.72*-0.7883+1.05*0.2517
=-18.03

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2022:
Total Assets was $240.80 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $147.19 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $121.42 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-1,011.61 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -51.646 + -43.643 + -33.288 + -62.57 = $-191.15 Mil.
Interest Expense was -0.738 + -0.508 + -0.052 + -0.028 = $-1.33 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $192.38 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(147.192 - 121.422)/240.804
=0.107

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-1011.612/240.804
=-4.201

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-191.147 - -1.326)/240.804
=-0.7883

X4_2=Net Worth/Total Liabilities
=(Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities
=(48.42 - 0)/192.384
=0.2517

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

Virgin Orbit Holdings has a Altman Z2-Score of -18.03 indicating it is in Distress Zones.


Virgin Orbit Holdings  (OTCPK:VORBQ) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.


Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Virgin Orbit Holdings Altman Z2-Score Related Terms

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Virgin Orbit Holdings (Virgin Orbit Holdings) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
4022 East Conant Street, Long Beach, CA, USA, 90808
Virgin Orbit Holdings Inc is a vertically integrated space company that provides customers with dedicated small satellite launch capabilities. Its launches have delivered satellites to orbit for customers across commercial, civil, and national security and defense markets, both domestically and internationally.
Executives
Jill Kathleen Frizzley director P.O. BOX 1541, ONE BLUE HILL PLAZA, PEARL RIVER NY 10965
Alan Jeffrey Carr director 8540 GANDER CREEK DRIVE, MIAMISBURG OH 45342
Corvina Holdings Ltd 10 percent owner LA MOTTE CHAMBERS, ST HELIER X0 JE1 1BJ
Virgin Group Holdings Ltd 10 percent owner LA MOTTE CHAMBERS, ST HELIER, JERSEY X0 JE1 1BJ
Virgin Investments Ltd 10 percent owner LA MOTTE CHAMBERS, ST HELIER Y9 X0 JE1 1BJ
Sir Richard Branson 10 percent owner RICHARD'S HOUSE, THE VALLEY, VIRGIN GORDA, NECKER ISLAND D8 POBOX 1091
Katharina G. Mcfarland director 4803 STONECROFT BOULEVARD, CHANTILLY VA 20151
Mubadala Investment Co Pjsc 10 percent owner P.O. BOX 45005, ABU DHABI C0 00000
Mamoura Diversified Global Holding Pjsc 10 percent owner P. O. BOX 45005, ABU DHABI C0 UAE
Fifteenth Investment Co Llc 10 percent owner C/O VIRGIN ORBIT, 4022 EAST CONANT STREET, LONG BEACH CA 90808
Vieco 10 Ltd 10 percent owner CRAIGMUIR CHAMBERS, P.O. BOX 71, ROAD TOWN, TORTOLA D8 VG1110
Shadid Abdulla Mohamed Ismail Ibrahim director C/O VIRGIN ORBIT, 4022 EAST CONANT STREET, LONG BEACH CA 90808
Daniel M Hart director, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O VIRGIN ORBIT, 4022 EAST CONANT STREET, LONG BEACH CA 90808
Derrick Osmond Boston officer: Chief Legal Officer C/O VIRGIN ORBIT, 4022 EAST CONANT STREET, LONG BEACH CA 90808
Brita Eve O'rear officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O VIRGIN ORBIT, 4022 EAST CONANT STREET, LONG BEACH CA 90808