GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Industrials » Aerospace & Defense » Virgin Orbit Holdings Inc (OTCPK:VORBQ) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Virgin Orbit Holdings (Virgin Orbit Holdings) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.00% (As of Jun. 09, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 2021. Start your Free Trial

What is Virgin Orbit Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Virgin Orbit Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Virgin Orbit Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Aerospace & Defense subindustry, Virgin Orbit Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Virgin Orbit Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Aerospace & Defense Industry

For the Aerospace & Defense industry and Industrials sector, Virgin Orbit Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Virgin Orbit Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Virgin Orbit Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=0.00

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Virgin Orbit Holdings  (OTCPK:VORBQ) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Virgin Orbit Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Virgin Orbit Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Virgin Orbit Holdings (Virgin Orbit Holdings) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
4022 East Conant Street, Long Beach, CA, USA, 90808
Virgin Orbit Holdings Inc is a vertically integrated space company that provides customers with dedicated small satellite launch capabilities. Its launches have delivered satellites to orbit for customers across commercial, civil, and national security and defense markets, both domestically and internationally.
Executives
Jill Kathleen Frizzley director P.O. BOX 1541, ONE BLUE HILL PLAZA, PEARL RIVER NY 10965
Alan Jeffrey Carr director 8540 GANDER CREEK DRIVE, MIAMISBURG OH 45342
Corvina Holdings Ltd 10 percent owner LA MOTTE CHAMBERS, ST HELIER X0 JE1 1BJ
Virgin Group Holdings Ltd 10 percent owner LA MOTTE CHAMBERS, ST HELIER, JERSEY X0 JE1 1BJ
Virgin Investments Ltd 10 percent owner LA MOTTE CHAMBERS, ST HELIER Y9 X0 JE1 1BJ
Sir Richard Branson 10 percent owner RICHARD'S HOUSE, THE VALLEY, VIRGIN GORDA, NECKER ISLAND D8 POBOX 1091
Katharina G. Mcfarland director 4803 STONECROFT BOULEVARD, CHANTILLY VA 20151
Mubadala Investment Co Pjsc 10 percent owner P.O. BOX 45005, ABU DHABI C0 00000
Mamoura Diversified Global Holding Pjsc 10 percent owner P. O. BOX 45005, ABU DHABI C0 UAE
Fifteenth Investment Co Llc 10 percent owner C/O VIRGIN ORBIT, 4022 EAST CONANT STREET, LONG BEACH CA 90808
Vieco 10 Ltd 10 percent owner CRAIGMUIR CHAMBERS, P.O. BOX 71, ROAD TOWN, TORTOLA D8 VG1110
Shadid Abdulla Mohamed Ismail Ibrahim director C/O VIRGIN ORBIT, 4022 EAST CONANT STREET, LONG BEACH CA 90808
Daniel M Hart director, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O VIRGIN ORBIT, 4022 EAST CONANT STREET, LONG BEACH CA 90808
Derrick Osmond Boston officer: Chief Legal Officer C/O VIRGIN ORBIT, 4022 EAST CONANT STREET, LONG BEACH CA 90808
Brita Eve O'rear officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O VIRGIN ORBIT, 4022 EAST CONANT STREET, LONG BEACH CA 90808

Virgin Orbit Holdings (Virgin Orbit Holdings) Headlines

From GuruFocus

Virgin Orbit on Target for Next Launch Window to Open June 29

By Business Wire Business Wire 06-24-2022

Virgin Orbit Names Stephen Zhang as Vice President of Investor Relations

By Business Wire Business Wire 06-21-2022

Virgin Orbit Update on UK Mission Anomaly

By Business Wire Business Wire 02-14-2023

Poland's SatRev Signs On for Future Virgin Orbit Flights

By Business Wire Business Wire 02-03-2023

Virgin Orbit Announces Next Launch, Dubbed 'Straight Up'

By Business Wire Business Wire 05-09-2022

Update on "Start Me Up" Mission Anomaly

By Business Wire Business Wire 01-12-2023