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Warner Music Group (Warner Music Group) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : 0.00% (As of Mar. 2024)


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What is Warner Music Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Warner Music Group's forward rate of return for was 0.00%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Warner Music Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

WMG' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0   Med: 0   Max: 17.15
Current: 16.6

During the past 13 years, Warner Music Group's highest Forward Rate of Return was 17.15. The lowest was 0.00. And the median was 0.00.

WMG's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than
66.34% of 606 companies
in the Media - Diversified industry
Industry Median: 7.585 vs WMG: 16.60

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Warner Music Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Warner Music Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Warner Music Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Warner Music Group Annual Data
Trend Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
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Warner Music Group Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
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Competitive Comparison of Warner Music Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Entertainment subindustry, Warner Music Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Warner Music Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Media - Diversified Industry

For the Media - Diversified industry and Communication Services sector, Warner Music Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Warner Music Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Warner Music Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Warner Music Group's Forward Rate of Return of Mar. 2024 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=0.60571429/33.02+0.1472
=16.55 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Warner Music Group  (NAS:WMG) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Warner Music Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Warner Music Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Warner Music Group (Warner Music Group) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1633 Broadway, New York, NY, USA, 10019
Warner Music Group is the third largest of the three major global record labels, with Vivendi's Universal Music in first and Sony Music in second. Warner's larger segment, recorded music, consists of iconic labels like Atlantic Records, Warner Records, and Parlophone Records and popular artists such as Ed Sheeran, Cardi B, Dua Lipa, and Blake Shelton. Warner Chappell, the firm's publishing arm, is the home to over 65,000 composers and songwriters with over 1 million copyrights represented. Warner is controlled by Access Industries, which owns an 84% economic interest and 99% of voting rights.
Executives
Max Lousada director, officer: CEO, Recorded Music C/O WARNER MUSIC GROUP CORP., 1633 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10019
Carletta Higginson officer: EVP, Chief Digital Officer C/O WARNER MUSIC GROUP CORP., 1633 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10019
Bryan Castellani officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O WARNER MUSIC GROUP CORP., 1633 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10019
Valentin Blavatnik director C/O WARNER MUSIC GROUP CORP., 1633 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10019
Entertainment Holdings Ii Llc 10 percent owner 40 WEST 57TH STREET, 28TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Lincoln E Benet director C/O LYONDELLBASELL INDUSTRIES N.V., DELFTSEPLEIN 27E, ROTTERDAM P7 3013AA
Timothy Matusch officer: EVP Strategy & Operations C/O WARNER MUSIC GROUP CORP., 1633 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10019
Robert Kyncl officer: Co-CEO C/O WARNER MUSIC GROUP CORP., 1633 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10019
Nancy Dubuc director C/O WARNER MUSIC GROUP CORP., 1633 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10019
Ai Entertainment Holdings Llc 10 percent owner C/O ACCESS INDUSTRIES, LLC, 40 WEST 57TH ST, 28TH FLR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Louis Dickler officer: Acting CFO & Corp. Contr. C/O WARNER MUSIC GROUP CORP., 1633 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10019
Noreena Hertz director C/O WARNER MUSIC GROUP CORP., 1633 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10019
Cecelia Kurzman director 237 PARK AVENUE, REVLON, 14TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Thomas H Lee director C/O THOMAS H. LEE CAPITAL LLC, 767 FIFTH AVENUE, 6TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10153
Michael Lynton director 2000 AVENUE OF THE STARS 12TH FL, LOS ANGELES CA 90067