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Warner Music Group (Warner Music Group) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF : 45.46 (As of May. 27, 2024)


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What is Warner Music Group Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF?

As of today (2024-05-27), Warner Music Group's current share price is $30.46. Warner Music Group's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 was $0.67. Warner Music Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is 45.46.

The historical rank and industry rank for Warner Music Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF or its related term are showing as below:

WMG' s Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 41.42   Med: 64.76   Max: 105.3
Current: 45.7

During the past years, Warner Music Group's highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF was 105.30. The lowest was 41.42. And the median was 64.76.

WMG's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is ranked worse than
79.05% of 358 companies
in the Media - Diversified industry
Industry Median: 16.61 vs WMG: 45.70

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Warner Music Group's adjusted free cash flow per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was $-0.154. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is $0.67 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2024.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Warner Music Group Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Warner Music Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Warner Music Group Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Chart

Warner Music Group Annual Data
Trend Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 79.78 90.36 41.84 49.08

Warner Music Group Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 59.70 44.37 49.08 51.38 49.54

Competitive Comparison of Warner Music Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF

For the Entertainment subindustry, Warner Music Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Warner Music Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Media - Diversified Industry

For the Media - Diversified industry and Communication Services sector, Warner Music Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Warner Music Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



Warner Music Group Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF takes the Free Cash Flow per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/FCF calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF.

Warner Music Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=30.46/0.67
=45.46

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Warner Music Group's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 is calculated as:

For example, Warner Music Group's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare=Free Cash Flow per Share/CPI of Mar. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2024)
=-0.154/131.7762*131.7762
=-0.154

Current CPI (Mar. 2024) = 131.7762.

Warner Music Group Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201406 -0.110 100.560 -0.144
201409 0.106 100.428 0.139
201412 0.012 99.070 0.016
201503 0.175 99.621 0.231
201506 -0.078 100.684 -0.102
201509 0.175 100.392 0.230
201512 0.088 99.792 0.116
201603 0.185 100.470 0.243
201606 0.050 101.688 0.065
201609 0.225 101.861 0.291
201612 0.293 101.863 0.379
201703 0.110 102.862 0.141
201706 0.133 103.349 0.170
201709 0.410 104.136 0.519
201712 0.237 104.011 0.300
201803 -0.034 105.290 -0.043
201806 0.223 106.317 0.276
201809 0.245 106.507 0.303
201812 0.122 105.998 0.152
201903 -0.074 107.251 -0.091
201906 0.237 108.070 0.289
201909 0.223 108.329 0.271
201912 0.104 108.420 0.126
202003 0.131 108.902 0.159
202006 0.184 108.767 0.223
202009 0.249 109.815 0.299
202012 -0.339 109.897 -0.406
202103 0.247 111.754 0.291
202106 -0.119 114.631 -0.137
202109 0.332 115.734 0.378
202112 -0.136 117.630 -0.152
202203 0.023 121.301 0.025
202206 0.231 125.017 0.243
202209 0.690 125.227 0.726
202212 0.301 125.222 0.317
202303 -0.097 127.348 -0.100
202306 0.198 128.729 0.203
202309 0.463 129.860 0.470
202312 0.397 129.419 0.404
202403 -0.154 131.776 -0.154

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.


Warner Music Group  (NAS:WMG) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Explanation

Compared with the regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF smoothed out the fluctuations of free cash flow during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF should give similar results to regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow.


Warner Music Group Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Warner Music Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Warner Music Group (Warner Music Group) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1633 Broadway, New York, NY, USA, 10019
Warner Music Group is the third largest of the three major global record labels, with Vivendi's Universal Music in first and Sony Music in second. Warner's larger segment, recorded music, consists of iconic labels like Atlantic Records, Warner Records, and Parlophone Records and popular artists such as Ed Sheeran, Cardi B, Dua Lipa, and Blake Shelton. Warner Chappell, the firm's publishing arm, is the home to over 65,000 composers and songwriters with over 1 million copyrights represented. Warner is controlled by Access Industries, which owns an 84% economic interest and 99% of voting rights.
Executives
Max Lousada director, officer: CEO, Recorded Music C/O WARNER MUSIC GROUP CORP., 1633 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10019
Carletta Higginson officer: EVP, Chief Digital Officer C/O WARNER MUSIC GROUP CORP., 1633 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10019
Bryan Castellani officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O WARNER MUSIC GROUP CORP., 1633 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10019
Valentin Blavatnik director C/O WARNER MUSIC GROUP CORP., 1633 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10019
Entertainment Holdings Ii Llc 10 percent owner 40 WEST 57TH STREET, 28TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Lincoln E Benet director C/O LYONDELLBASELL INDUSTRIES N.V., DELFTSEPLEIN 27E, ROTTERDAM P7 3013AA
Timothy Matusch officer: EVP Strategy & Operations C/O WARNER MUSIC GROUP CORP., 1633 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10019
Robert Kyncl officer: Co-CEO C/O WARNER MUSIC GROUP CORP., 1633 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10019
Nancy Dubuc director C/O WARNER MUSIC GROUP CORP., 1633 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10019
Ai Entertainment Holdings Llc 10 percent owner C/O ACCESS INDUSTRIES, LLC, 40 WEST 57TH ST, 28TH FLR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Louis Dickler officer: Acting CFO & Corp. Contr. C/O WARNER MUSIC GROUP CORP., 1633 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10019
Noreena Hertz director C/O WARNER MUSIC GROUP CORP., 1633 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10019
Cecelia Kurzman director 237 PARK AVENUE, REVLON, 14TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Thomas H Lee director C/O THOMAS H. LEE CAPITAL LLC, 767 FIFTH AVENUE, 6TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10153
Michael Lynton director 2000 AVENUE OF THE STARS 12TH FL, LOS ANGELES CA 90067