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QDM International (QDM International) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.07% (As of Jun. 06, 2024)


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What is QDM International Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, QDM International's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.07%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of QDM International's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Insurance Brokers subindustry, QDM International's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


QDM International's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Insurance Industry

For the Insurance industry and Financial Services sector, QDM International's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where QDM International's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



QDM International Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.26

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.07%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


QDM International  (OTCPK:QDMI) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


QDM International Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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QDM International (QDM International) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
5 Canton Road, Room 1030B, 10/F, Ocean Centre, Harbour City, Tsim Sha Tsui, Hong Kong, HKG, 200051
QDM International Inc is an insurance brokerage company operating in Hong Kong. The company sells a wide range of insurance products, consisting of two main categories: life and medical insurance, such as individual life insurance; and general insurance, such as automobile insurance, commercial property insurance, liability insurance, and homeowner insurance. In addition, as a Mandatory Provident Fund Intermediary, it also provides customers with assistance on account opening and related services under the MPF and the Occupational Retirement Schemes Ordinance schemes, both of which are mandatory retirement protection schemes set up for employees who are Hong Kong residents.
Executives
Timothy John Miles director PO BOX 30, DUNDEE MI 48131
Huihe Zheng director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman, CEO, and President T2-702 SOHO TIANSHAN SQUARE,, 1717 TIANSHAN ROAD, CHANGNING DISTRICT, SHANGHAI F4 200051
Huili Shen director, officer: Secretary ROOM 707 SOHO T2 TIANSHAN PLAZA, SHANGHAI F4 200051
Robert Brooks 10 percent owner 9 PROSPECT AVENUE, PORT WASHINGTON NY 11050
Kenneth J Scott director 2156 HURON TRAIL, MAITLAND FL 32751
Brian C Rosenbloom director, 10 percent owner
Timothy B Shannon director, officer: CEO/CFO 4279 BURNWOOD TRAIL, DENVER CO 28037

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