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Toyo Engineering (TSE:6330) Altman Z-Score : 1.57 (As of Jun. 07, 2024)


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What is Toyo Engineering Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 1.39 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

Toyo Engineering has a Altman Z-Score of 1.57, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Toyo Engineering's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:6330' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.21   Med: 1.37   Max: 1.8
Current: 1.39

During the past 13 years, Toyo Engineering's highest Altman Z-Score was 1.80. The lowest was 1.21. And the median was 1.37.


Toyo Engineering Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Toyo Engineering's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

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Toyo Engineering Altman Z-Score Chart

Toyo Engineering Annual Data
Trend Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.47 1.37 1.34 1.23 -

Toyo Engineering Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.23 1.22 1.26 1.37 -

Competitive Comparison of Toyo Engineering's Altman Z-Score

For the Engineering & Construction subindustry, Toyo Engineering's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Toyo Engineering's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Construction Industry

For the Construction industry and Industrials sector, Toyo Engineering's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Toyo Engineering's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Toyo Engineering Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Toyo Engineering's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.1985+1.4*0.0971+3.3*0.0442+0.6*0.2301+1.0*0.912
=1.57

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was 円285,996 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円250,330 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円193,553 Mil.
Retained Earnings was 円27,765 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 6651 + 1105 + 2200 + 1826 = 円11,782 Mil.
Interest Expense was -250 + -179 + -246 + -177 = 円-852 Mil.
Revenue was 71452 + 72318 + 62322 + 54733 = 円260,825 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was 円51,040 Mil.
Total Liabilities was 円221,846 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(250330 - 193553)/285996
=0.1985

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=27765/285996
=0.0971

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(11782 - -852)/285996
=0.0442

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=51040.448/221846
=0.2301

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=260825/285996
=0.912

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Toyo Engineering has a Altman Z-Score of 1.57 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Toyo Engineering  (TSE:6330) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Toyo Engineering Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Toyo Engineering (TSE:6330) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2-8-1 Akanehama Narashino-shi, Chiba, JPN
Toyo Engineering provides engineering and construction services for industrial facilities. It designs, procures materials, builds, and offers technical assistance for oil and gas, petrochemicals, water treatment, transportation, power generation, and other industrial markets. Project management skills partnered with technological solutions allow the company to offer customized solutions and manufacture various power plants and infrastructure projects. Toyo operates three business groups: engineering, procurement, and construction (the majority of total revenue); IT; and real estate. A global network of employees gathers data from customers, and company locations are spread across Asia, North America, and South America to collect regional information.

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