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Electronic Systems Technology (Electronic Systems Technology) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : 0.00% (As of Mar. 2024)


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What is Electronic Systems Technology Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Electronic Systems Technology's forward rate of return for was 0.00%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Electronic Systems Technology's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

ELST' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.31   Med: 6.85   Max: 19.36
Current: 2.23

During the past 13 years, Electronic Systems Technology's highest Forward Rate of Return was 19.36. The lowest was -4.31. And the median was 6.85.

ELST's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked worse than
62.59% of 1620 companies
in the Hardware industry
Industry Median: 8.795 vs ELST: 2.23

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Electronic Systems Technology Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Electronic Systems Technology's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Electronic Systems Technology Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Electronic Systems Technology Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
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Electronic Systems Technology Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
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Competitive Comparison of Electronic Systems Technology's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Communication Equipment subindustry, Electronic Systems Technology's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Electronic Systems Technology's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Hardware Industry

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, Electronic Systems Technology's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Electronic Systems Technology's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Electronic Systems Technology Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Electronic Systems Technology's Forward Rate of Return of Mar. 2024 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=0.02590476/0.308+-0.064
=2.01 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Electronic Systems Technology  (OTCPK:ELST) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Electronic Systems Technology Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Electronic Systems Technology's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Electronic Systems Technology (Electronic Systems Technology) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
415 N. Roosevelt Street, STE B1, Kennewick, WA, USA, 99336
Electronic Systems Technology Inc is engaged in the development and manufacturing of digital data (non-voice) radio transceivers for use in industrial wireless networking applications. It designs, develops, manufactures, and markets industrial wireless products and accessories. The company's products provide communication solutions for applications underutilized by conventional, commercial-grade communication systems. It offers product lines in markets for process automation in commercial, industrial, and government arenas domestically as well as internationally.
Executives
Daniel M. Tolley director C/O ELECTRONIC SYSTEMS TECHNOLOGY, INC., 415 N. ROOSEVELT ST., STE B1, KENNEWICH WA 99336
Michael William Eller director, officer: President 415 N QUAY, BLDG B1, KENNEWICK WA 99336
Partners Lllp Edco 10 percent owner 4605 S DENICE DR, ENGLEWOOD CO 80111
Zeff Capital, Lp 10 percent owner 400 S. MCCADDEN PL., LOS ANGELES CA 90020
Theodore Deinard director C/O ARC WIRELESS SOLUTIONS, INC., 6330 NORTH WASHINGTON ST., SUITE 13, DENVER CO 80216
Donald E. Siecke director, 10 percent owner 12441 W 49TH AVE., UNIT 4, WHEAT RIDGE CO 80033
Thomas J. Schaefer director 6800 EAST HIGHLAND AVE, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85251
Vern D Kornelsen director, 10 percent owner 4605 S. DENICE DR, ENGLEWOOD CO 80111
Electronic Systems Technology Inc director, officer: Secretary/Treasurer 415 N. ROOSEVELT ST., STE B1, KENNEWICK WA 99336
Hummingbird Value Fund Lp 10 percent owner, other: see footnote #1 145 E. 57TH STREET, 8TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Hummingbird Management Llc 10 percent owner, other: see footnote #1 145 E. 57TH STREET, 8TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Paul D Sonkin 10 percent owner, other: see footnote #1 145 E. 57TH STREET, 8TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Hummingbird Microcap Value Fund Lp 10 percent owner, other: see footnote #1 145 E. 57TH STREET, 8TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Hummingbird Capital Llc 10 percent owner, other: see footnote #1 145 E. 57TH STREET, 8TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Tarsier Nanocap Value Fund, Lp 10 percent owner, other: see footnote #1 C/O HUMMINGBIRD MANAGEMENT, LLC, 145 E. 57TH STREET, 8TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022

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