VIZIO Holding (VIZIO Holding) Predictability Rank

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What is VIZIO Holding Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

VIZIO Holding Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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VIZIO Holding (VIZIO Holding) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Hardware » VIZIO Holding Corp (NYSE:VZIO) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

7UF:Germany

Address

39 Tesla, Irvine, CA, USA, 92618

Website

https://www.vizio.com

VIZIO Holding Corp operates two distinct integrated businesses: Device and Platform+. Through Device business, it offers a range of high-performance Smart TVs designed to address specific consumer preferences, as well as a portfolio of soundbars that deliver immersive audio experiences. It generates revenue from the shipment of these devices to retailers and distributors across the United States, as well as directly to consumers through the website. The Platform+ business includes the Smart TV operating system, SmartCast, which delivers a vast amount of content and applications through an easy-to-use interface.

Executives

Michael Joseph O'donnell	officer: See Remarks	C/O VIZIO HOLDING CORP., 39 TESLA, IRVINE CA 92618
Adam R. Townsend	officer: Chief Financial Officer	C/O VIZIO HOLDING CORP., 39 TESLA, IRVINE CA 92618
Rajendra M Mohan	director	1600 HARBOR BAY PARKWAY STE 200, C/O GOOD GUYS INC, ALAMEDA CA 94502
Amtran Technology Co. Ltd.	10 percent owner	17F, NO. 268, LIAN CHEN RD., JHONGHE DISTRICT, NEW TAIPEI CITY F5 235
Julia S Gouw	director	415 HUNTINGTON DRIVE, SAN MARINO CA 91108
Ben Bun Wong	officer: President and COO	C/O VIZIO HOLDINGS, INC., 39 TESLA, IRVINE CA 92618
William Wei Wang	director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer	C/O VIZIO HOLDINGS, INC., 39 TESLA, IRVINE CA 92618
V-tw Holdings, Llc	10 percent owner	801 RIVER DRIVE, PO BOX 1397, NORTH SIOUX CITY SD 57049
David Eugene Russell	director	C/O VIZIO HOLDING CORP., 39 TESLA, IRVINE CA 92618
William T Baxter	officer: Chief Technology Officer	C/O BSQUARE CORP, 3150 139TH AVENUE SE STE 500, BELLEVUE WA 98005
Vicky Free	director	485 SPRINGFIELD AVENUE #8, SUMMIT NJ 07901
Theodore W Waitt	10 percent owner	801 RIVER DRIVE, NORTH SIOUX CITY SD 57049
Avalon Capital Group Ii, Llc	10 percent owner	801 RIVER DRIVE, PO BOX 1397, NORTH SIOUX CITY SD 57049
Q-run Holdings Ltd	10 percent owner	NO.66-1,ZHONGSHAN ROAD,TUCHENG DISTRICT, NEW TAIPEI F5 236401
Foxconn Assembly Holding Corp	10 percent owner	NO.2, ZIYOU STREET, TUCHENG DISTRICT, NEW TAIPEI CITY F5 236401