SOC Telemed (SOC Telemed) Predictability Rank

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What is SOC Telemed Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

SOC Telemed Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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SOC Telemed (SOC Telemed) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Healthcare Providers & Services » SOC Telemed Inc (NAS:TLMDW) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

1768 Business Center Drive, Suite 100, Reston, VA, USA, 20190

Website

https://www.soctelemed.com

SOC Telemed Inc is a provider of acute care telemedicine services and technology to U.S. hospitals and healthcare systems based on number of clients. It provides technology enabled clinical solutions which include acute teleNeurology, telePsychiatry, and teleICU, and telePulmonology service. It supports specialty care, providing time-sensitive specialty care when patients are vulnerable and may not otherwise have access. Its solution was developed to support complex workflows in the acute care setting by integrating cloud-based software platform, Telemed IQ, with a panel of patient advocates and a network of clinical specialists to create a seamless, acute telemedicine solution.

Executives

David R. Fletcher	officer: Interim CFO	C/O SOC TELEMED, INC., 1768 BUSINESS CENTER DRIVE, SUITE 100, RESTON VA 20190
David Mikula	officer: Chief Operating Officer	C/O SOC TELEMED, INC. 1768 BUSINESS CENTER DRIVE, SUITE 100 RESTON VA 20190
Gyasi C. Chisley	director	C/O SOC TELEMED, INC. 1768 BUSINESS CENTER DRIVE, SUITE 100 RESTON VA 20190
Christopher M. Gallagher	director	C/O SOC TELEMED, INC. 1768 BUSINESS CENTER DRIVE, SUITE 100 RESTON VA 20190
Steven J Shulman	director	1564 NE EXPRESSWAY, ATTN: BJ PURCELL, ATLANTA GA 30329
Christopher K Knibb	officer: Chief Financial Officer	C/O SOC TELEMED, INC. 1768 BUSINESS CENTER DRIVE, SUITE 100 RESTON VA 20190
Warburg Pincus Partners Ii, L.p.	director, 10 percent owner	450 LEXINGTON AVENUE, C/O WARBURG PINCUS LLC, NEW YORK NY 10017
Anne Mcgeorge	director	C/O MAGENTA THERAPEUTICS, INC., 100 TECHNOLOGY SQUARE, 5TH FLOOR, CAMBRIDGE MA 02139
Wpxi Finance, Lp	director, 10 percent owner	C/O WARBURG PINCUS LLC, 450 LEXINGTON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10017
Wpxi Gp, L.p.	director, 10 percent owner	C/O WARBURG PINCUS LLC, 450 LEXINGTON AVE, NEW YORK NY 10017
Warburg Pincus & Co.	director, 10 percent owner	450 LEXINGTON AVENUE, NEW YORK, NY NY 100173147
Amr Kronfol	director	C/O WARBURG PINCUS LLC, 450 LEXINGTON AVE, NEW YORK NY 10017
Joseph P Greskoviak	director	C/O SOC TELEMED, INC. 1768 BUSINESS CENTER DRIVE, SUITE 100 RESTON VA 20190
Sean Banerjee	officer: Chief Technology Officer	C/O SOC TELEMED 1768 BUSINESS CENTER DRIVE, SUITE 100 RESTON VA 20190
John W. Kalix	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer	C/O SOC TELEMED 1768 BUSINESS CENTER DRIVE, SUITE 100 RESTON VA 20190