Mobileye Global (Mobileye Global) Predictability Rank

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What is Mobileye Global Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Mobileye Global Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Mobileye Global (Mobileye Global) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Cyclical » Vehicles & Parts » Mobileye Global Inc (NAS:MBLY) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

c/o Mobileye B.V., P.O. Box 45157, Har Hotzvim, 13 Hartom Street, Jerusalem, ISR, 9777513

Website

https://www.mobileye.com

Mobileye Global Inc engages in the development and deployment of ADAS and autonomous driving technologies and solutions. It is building a portfolio of end-to-end ADAS and autonomous driving solutions to provide the capabilities needed for the future of autonomous driving, leveraging a comprehensive suite of purpose-built software and hardware technologies. Its solutions comprise Driver Assist, Cloud-Enhanced Driver Assist, Mobileye SuperVision Lite, Mobileye SuperVision, Mobileye Chauffeur, Mobileye Drive, Self-Driving System & Vehicles. It also provides data services to Expedite Maintenance Operations with AI-Powered Road Survey Technology.

Executives

Claire C. Mccaskill	director	C/O MOBILEYE GLOBAL INC., HAR HOTZVIM, 13 HARTOM STREET, BOX 45157, JERUSALEM L3 97775
Patrick P Gelsinger	director	VMWARE, INC., 3401 HILLVIEW AVENUE, PALO ALTO CA 94304
Shai Shalev-shwartz	officer: Chief Technology Officer	C/O MOBILEYE GLOBAL INC., HAR HOTZVIM, 13 HARTOM STREET, BOX 45157, JERUSALEM L3 97775
Gavriel Hayon	officer: See Remarks	C/O MOBILEYE GLOBAL INC., HAR HOTZVIM, 13 HARTOM STREET, BOX 45157, JERUSALEM L3 97775
Amnon Shashua	director, officer: CEO and President	C/O MOBILEYE N.V., HAR HOTZVIM, 13 HARTOM STREET, NO. 45157, JERUSALEM L3 97775
Rojansky Moran Shemesh	officer: Acting Chief Financial Officer	C/O MOBILEYE B.V., HAR HOTZVIM,, 13 HARTOM STREET, P.O. BOX 45157,, JERUSALEM L3 9777513
Intel Corp	10 percent owner	2200 MISSION COLLEGE BLVD, RNB-4-151, SANTA CLARA CA 95054
Nimrod Nehushtan	officer: SVP Bus Dev & Str & Co-Mgr REM	C/O MOBILEYE B.V., HAR HOTZVIM, 13 HARTOM STREET, JERUSALEM L3 9777513
Frank D Yeary	director	C/O INTEL CORPORATION, 2200 MISSION COLLEGE BLVD., RN4-151, SANTA CLARA CA 95054
Safroadu Yeboah-amankwah	director	C/O MOBILEYE GLOBAL INC., HAR HOTZVIM, 13 HARTOM STREET, BOX 45157, JERUSALEM L3 97775
Christine M Pambianchi	director	1095 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10036
Eyal Desheh	director	C/O MOBILEYE GLOBAL INC., HAR HOTZVIM, 13 HARTOM STREET, BOX 45157, JERUSALEM L3 97775
General Atlantic Partners (lux), Scsp	10 percent owner	55 EAST 52ND STREET, FLOOR 33, NEW YORK NY 10055
General Atlantic (me), L.p.	10 percent owner	C/O GENERAL ATLANTIC SERVICE COMPANY, LP, 55 EAST 52ND STREET, 33RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10055
Huntsman Jon M Jr	director	500 HUNTSMAN WAY, SALT LAKE CITY UT 84108