Enzo Biochem (Enzo Biochem) Predictability Rank

View and export this data going back to 1980. Start your Free Trial

What is Enzo Biochem Predictability Rank?

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Enzo Biochem Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Enzo Biochem Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Enzo Biochem's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Enzo Biochem (Enzo Biochem) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Medical Diagnostics & Research » Enzo Biochem Inc (NYSE:ENZ) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

NOTV VNRX BIOQ STIM PSNL PRE OCX MDXH TTOO XGN TMO DHR A IDXX IQV XSWX:LONN MTD ICLR WAT ILMN

Traded in Other Exchanges

EZB:Germany

Address

527 Madison Avenue, New York, NY, USA, 10022

Website

https://www.enzo.com

Enzo Biochem Inc is a bioscience company. The firm manufactures, develops and sell their proprietary solutions and platforms to clinical laboratories, specialty clinics and researchers and physicians internationally. It focuses on delivering and applying its technology to produce products and services to allow its customers to meet their clinical needs. The company has Enzo clinical labs, Enzo life sciences, Enzo therapeutics operating segments. It derives the majority of its revenues from the Clinical lab's segment.

Executives

Steven J Pully	director	9800 RICHMOND AVE, SUITE 700, HOUSTON TX 77042
James G. Wolf	10 percent owner	105, FLYWAY DRIVE, KIAWAH ISLAND SC 29455
Hamid Erfanian	officer: Chief Executive Officer	527 MADISON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10022
Patricia Eckert	officer: Interim CFO	C/O ENZO BIOCHEM, INC., 81 EXECUTIVE BLVD, SUITE 3, FARMINGDALE NY 11735
Kara Cannon	officer: Chief Operating Officer	527 MADISON AVE, NEW YORK NY 10022
Bradley Louis Radoff	director	2727 KIRBY DRIVE, UNIT 29L, HOUSTON TX 77098
David Bench	officer: CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER	ENZO BIOCHEM, INC., 527 MADISON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10022
Harbert Discovery Fund, Lp	10 percent owner	HARBERT DISCOVERY FUND GP, LLC, 2100 THIRD AVENUE NORTH, SUITE 600, BIRMINGHAM AL 35203
Ian B. Walters	director	ENZO BIOCHEM, INC., 527 MADISON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10022
Mary Tagliaferri	director	455 MISSION BAY BOULEVARD SOUTH, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94158
Clemens Peter J Iv	10 percent owner	2383 N. BERRY'S CHAPEL RD., FRANKLIN TN 37069
Rebecca J. Fischer	director	ENZO BIOCHEM, INC., 527 MADISON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10022
Fabian Blank	10 percent owner, other: See Remarks	ROEMERSTRASSE 6, BAD BERTRICH 2M 56864
Harbert Management Corp	10 percent owner	2100 THIRD AVENUE NORTH, SUITE 600, BIRMINGHAM AL 35203
Harbert Discovery Co-investment Fund I Gp, Llc	10 percent owner	2100 THIRD AVENUE NORTH, SUITE 600, BIRMINGHAM AL 35203