Dominari Holdings (Dominari Holdings) Predictability Rank

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What is Dominari Holdings Predictability Rank?

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Dominari Holdings Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Dominari Holdings (Dominari Holdings) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Biotechnology » Dominari Holdings Inc (NAS:DOMH) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

BP2A:Germany

Address

One Rockefeller Plaza, 11th Floor, New York, NY, USA, 10020

Website

https://www.dominariholdings.com

Dominari Holdings Inc is a biotechnology company with a diverse portfolio of small-molecule anticancer and antiviral therapeutics in development. The company is engaged in developing a therapeutic drug pipeline through partnerships with educational institutions, including the University of Texas at Austin, the University of Maryland, Baltimore, and Wake Forest University. Its oncology therapeutics include treatments for pancreatic cancer, acute myeloid leukemia, and acute lymphoblastic leukemia. The company is also developing an antiviral platform, in which the compounds have activity against multiple viruses including Influenza virus, Ebolavirus and Marburg virus, SARS-CoV, MERS-CoV, and SARS-CoV-2, the cause of COVID-19.

Executives

Kyle Michael Wool	director	650 5TH AVE, 35TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Christopher Franklin Devall	officer: Chief Operating Officer	DOMINARI HOLDINGS INC., ONE ROCKEFELLER PLAZA, 11TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10020
Anthony Hayes	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer	1796 SHADY LANE, COLUMBIA SC 29206
George Way	officer: Chief Financial Officer	C/O DOMINARI HOLDINGS INC., 725 5TH AVENUE 23RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Soo Yu	director	ONE ROCKEFELLER PLAZA, 11TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10020
Tim S Ledwick	director	10200 INNOVATION DRIVE, SUITE 300, MILWAUKEE WI 53226
Gregory James Blattner	director	ONE ROCKEFELLER PLAZA 11TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10020
Paul Lemire	director	ONE ROCKEFELLER PLAZA, 11TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10020
Robert Frederick Dudley	director	ONE ROCKEFELLER PLAZA, 11TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10020
Zanden Robert J Vander	director	913 HIGH KNOLL WAY, TRAVELERS REST SC 29690
Eric Weisblum	director	285 GRAND AVENUE, ENGLEWOOD NJ 07631
Howard E Goldberg	director	781 THIRD AVENUE, KING OF PRUSSIA PA 194061409
Frank Reiner	officer: Interim CFO	6430 ROCKLEDGE DRIVE, SUITE 503, BETHESDA MD 20817
Jeffrey Ballabon	director	6430 ROCKLEDGE DRIVE, BETHESDA NY 20817
Richard Cohen	officer: Chief Financial Officer	C/O DUNE ENERGY, INC., TWO SHELL PLAZA, 777 WALKER STREET, SUITE 2300, HOUSTON TX 77002