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Ze Pak (WAR:ZEP) Beneish M-Score : -0.55 (As of Jun. 02, 2024)


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What is Ze Pak Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score -0.55 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Ze Pak's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

WAR:ZEP' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -8.54   Med: -3.16   Max: -0.03
Current: -0.55

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Ze Pak was -0.03. The lowest was -8.54. And the median was -3.16.


Ze Pak Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Ze Pak's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Ze Pak Beneish M-Score Chart

Ze Pak Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.78 -2.34 -1.44 -3.23 -0.03

Ze Pak Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.09 -8.54 -2.78 -0.03 -0.55

Competitive Comparison of Ze Pak's Beneish M-Score

For the Utilities - Independent Power Producers subindustry, Ze Pak's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ze Pak's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Utilities - Independent Power Producers Industry

For the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry and Utilities sector, Ze Pak's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ze Pak's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Ze Pak Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Ze Pak for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8791+0.528 * 0.0959+0.404 * 4.2223+0.892 * 1.0072+0.115 * 0.8001
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9001+4.679 * 0.223938-0.327 * 0.49
=-0.55

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was zł699 Mil.
Revenue was 519.587 + 828.677 + 819.918 + 305.607 = zł2,474 Mil.
Gross Profit was 55.203 + 375.931 + 376.383 + 505.205 = zł1,313 Mil.
Total Current Assets was zł2,040 Mil.
Total Assets was zł3,650 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was zł834 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was zł28 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was zł110 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was zł1,164 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was zł28 Mil.
Net Income was -4.64 + 521.911 + 376.22 + 221.149 = zł1,115 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = zł0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 104.078 + -114.253 + 198.113 + 109.259 = zł297 Mil.
Total Receivables was zł790 Mil.
Revenue was 711.359 + -352.374 + 1137.001 + 960.077 = zł2,456 Mil.
Gross Profit was -92.707 + -93.01 + 237.862 + 72.801 = zł125 Mil.
Total Current Assets was zł2,875 Mil.
Total Assets was zł5,083 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was zł1,952 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was zł52 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was zł121 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was zł2,524 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was zł864 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(699.443 / 2473.789) / (789.928 / 2456.063)
=0.282742 / 0.321624
=0.8791

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(124.946 / 2456.063) / (1312.722 / 2473.789)
=0.050872 / 0.530652
=0.0959

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (2040.022 + 834.475) / 3650.317) / (1 - (2875.044 + 1951.755) / 5082.639)
=0.212535 / 0.050336
=4.2223

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=2473.789 / 2456.063
=1.0072

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(52 / (52 + 1951.755)) / (27.974 / (27.974 + 834.475))
=0.025951 / 0.032436
=0.8001

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(109.986 / 2473.789) / (121.324 / 2456.063)
=0.044461 / 0.049398
=0.9001

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((28.171 + 1164.193) / 3650.317) / ((864.228 + 2523.674) / 5082.639)
=0.326647 / 0.666564
=0.49

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(1114.64 - 0 - 297.197) / 3650.317
=0.223938

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Ze Pak has a M-score of -0.55 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.


Ze Pak (WAR:ZEP) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
ul. Kazimiersk 45, Konin, POL, 62-510
Ze Pak SA is a holding company that engages in energy production, transmission, and distribution. It produces electricity from conventional sources and combustion and co-combustion of biomass, extracts lignite, and also provides construction and renovation services. The group has four operating segments: The Generation segment covers the production of electricity both from conventional sources (including cogeneration) and from biomass by combustion and co-combustion of biomass. The Mining Segment covers the extraction of lignite. The Renovation Segment performs services within the scope of construction and renovation services. The Sales Segment performs services for the sale of electricity. The majority of the revenue is from the Generation segment.

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