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Citigroup (TSE:8710) Beneish M-Score : -2.28 (As of May. 10, 2024)


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What is Citigroup Beneish M-Score?

Note: Financial institutions were excluded from the sample in Beneish paper when calculating Beneish M-Score. Thus, the prediction might not fit banks and insurance companies.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.28 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Citigroup's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:8710' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.7   Med: -2.4   Max: -1.64
Current: -2.28

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Citigroup was -1.64. The lowest was -2.70. And the median was -2.40.


Citigroup Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Citigroup for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.117+0.528 * 1+0.404 * 0.999+0.892 * 1.1067+0.115 * 1.0683
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0225+4.679 * 0.024086-0.327 * 1.0303
=-2.17

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円9,227,028 Mil.
Revenue was 3160273.525 + 2712611.471 + 2919347.374 + 2748001.479 = 円11,540,234 Mil.
Gross Profit was 3160273.525 + 2712611.471 + 2919347.374 + 2748001.479 = 円11,540,234 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円0 Mil.
Total Assets was 円364,435,240 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円4,372,905 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円664,319 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円4,482,941 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円42,772,461 Mil.
Net Income was 505038.497 + -264781.98 + 524258.371 + 412058.864 = 円1,176,574 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -1622685.245 + -671817.682 + 2335063.933 + -7641677.57 = 円-7,601,117 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円7,463,681 Mil.
Revenue was 2727420.05 + 2515621.346 + 2562496.421 + 2621634.391 = 円10,427,172 Mil.
Gross Profit was 2727420.05 + 2515621.346 + 2562496.421 + 2621634.391 = 円10,427,172 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円0 Mil.
Total Assets was 円328,160,962 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円3,624,842 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円594,459 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円3,961,541 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円37,383,766 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(9227027.869 / 11540233.849) / (7463680.87 / 10427172.208)
=0.799553 / 0.715791
=1.117

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(10427172.208 / 10427172.208) / (11540233.849 / 11540233.849)
=1 / 1
=1

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (0 + 4372905.264) / 364435239.989) / (1 - (0 + 3624842.163) / 328160961.545)
=0.988001 / 0.988954
=0.999

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=11540233.849 / 10427172.208
=1.1067

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(594459.496 / (594459.496 + 3624842.163)) / (664318.911 / (664318.911 + 4372905.264))
=0.14089 / 0.131882
=1.0683

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(4482941.243 / 11540233.849) / (3961540.864 / 10427172.208)
=0.388462 / 0.379925
=1.0225

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((42772460.89 + 0) / 364435239.989) / ((37383766.193 + 0) / 328160961.545)
=0.117366 / 0.113919
=1.0303

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(1176573.752 - 0 - -7601116.564) / 364435239.989
=0.024086

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Citigroup has a M-score of -2.17 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Citigroup Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Citigroup (TSE:8710) Business Description

Address
388 Greenwich Street, New York, NY, USA, 10013
Citigroup is a global financial-services company doing business in more than 100 countries and jurisdictions. Citigroup's operations are organized into two primary segments: the institutional clients group and the personal banking and wealth-management group. The bank's primary services include cross-border banking needs for multinational corporates, investment banking and trading, and credit card services in the United States.